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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

For related races, see 2022 United States House of Representatives elections.

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the Nebraska gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 0
Seats won 3 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 411,034 231,511
Percentage 62.71% 35.32%
Swing Increase 0.54% Increase 0.69%

Nebraska's primary elections took place on May 10, 2022.

Overview

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District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 129,236 57.91% 93,929 42.09% 0 0.00% 223,165 100.0% Republican hold
District 2 112,663 51.33% 106,807 48.67% 0 0.00% 219,470 100.0% Republican hold
District 3 172,700 78.30% 34,836 15.79% 13,016 5.90% 220,552 100.0% Republican hold
Total 411,034 62.71% 231,511 35.32% 13,016 1.96% 663,187 100.0%
Popular vote
Republican
 
 62.71%
Democratic
 
 35.32%
Other
 
 1.96%
House seats
Republican
 
 100.00%

District 1

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2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district election
 
     
Nominee Mike Flood Patty Pansing Brooks
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 129,236 93,929
Percentage 57.91% 42.09%
 
County results
Flood:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Pansing Brooks:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Mike Flood
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Flood
Republican

See also: Nebraska's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent was Republican Mike Flood, who was elected with 52.7% of the vote in a 2022 special election after the previous incumbent, Jeff Fortenberry, resigned March 31, 2022, after having been indicted and convicted on charges of lying to the FBI about campaign donations.[1]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Withdrawn
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Declined
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Endorsements

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Mike Flood

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State officials

Organizations

Jeff Fortenberry (withdrawn)

State officials

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Thireena Yuki
Connely 		Mike
Flood 		Jeff
Fortenberry 		Curtis
Huffman 		John Glen
Weaver 		Undecided
March 31, 2022 Fortenberry resigns and withdraws from the race
Moore Information Group (R)[15][A] February 23, 2022 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 1% 25% 36% 1% 1% 36%
– 30% 40% – – 30%
Moore Information Group (R)[15][A] January 2022 – (LV) – – 33% 35% – – 33%

Results

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Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Flood 61,265 73.9
Republican Jeff Fortenberry (withdrawn) 9,807 11.8
Republican John Glen Weaver 5,470 6.6
Republican Thireena Yuki Connely 3,353 4.0
Republican Curtis Huffman 3,062 3.7
Total votes 82,957 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Jazari Kual, community activist[18]

Endorsements

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Patty Pansing Brooks

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Results

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Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patty Pansing Brooks 31,808 86.6
Democratic Jazari Kual 4,944 13.4
Total votes 36,752 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid R September 1, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid R September 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe R August 24, 2022
Politico[31] Likely R August 23, 2022
RCP[32] Safe R September 1, 2022
Fox News[33] Solid R August 22, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid R September 5, 2022
FiveThirtyEight[35] Solid R September 6, 2022
The Economist[36] Likely R September 28, 2022

Results

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2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district election[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Flood (incumbent) 129,236 57.91%
Democratic Patty Pansing Brooks 93,929 42.09%
Total votes 223,165 100.00%
Republican hold

District 2

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2022 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Nominee Don Bacon Tony Vargas
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 112,663 106,807
Percentage 51.33% 48.67%
 
County results

Bacon:      60–70%      70–80%

Vargas:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Don Bacon
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Don Bacon
Republican

See also: Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, parts of Saunders County, and suburban parts of northern Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent was Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 50.8% of the vote in 2020 on the same ballot that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden won the district with 52.2%.[1]

During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of Don Bacon.[38]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Withdrawn
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  • Jim Schultze, IT professional[40]

Endorsements

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Don Bacon

Organizations

Results

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Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Bacon (incumbent) 53,824 77.2
Republican Steve Kuehl 15,945 22.8
Total votes 69,769 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Declined
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Endorsements
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Alisha Shelton

Organizations

Tony Vargas

U.S. Senators

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

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Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tony Vargas 31,930 68.6
Democratic Alisha Shelton 14,585 31.4
Total votes 46,515 100.0

General election

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Debates and forums

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2022 Nebraska 2nd congressional district debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Bacon Vargas
1[68] October 13, 2022 League of Women Voters and Omaha Press Club N/A N/A P P
2[68] October 16, 2022 KETV N/A [69] P P

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Tossup November 1, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Tossup September 1, 2022
Roll Call[70] Tossup August 26, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Lean R November 2, 2022
Politico[31] Tossup October 4, 2022
RCP[32] Lean R September 1, 2022
Fox News[33] Lean R November 1, 2022
DDHQ[34] Likely R September 5, 2022
FiveThirtyEight[71] Likely R September 6, 2022
The Economist[72] Tossup November 5, 2022

Polling

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Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Don
Bacon (R) 		Tony
Vargas (D) 		Undecided
[b] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight[73] May 10 – August 7, 2022 August 11, 2022 48.3% 41.9% 9.8% Bacon +6.4

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Don
Bacon (R) 		Tony
Vargas (D) 		Undecided
Impact Research (D)[74][B] August 3–7, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.5% 47% 46% 7%
GBAO (D)[75][C] June 27–30, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 48% 5%
RMG Research[76][D] May 19–20, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 52% 37% 9%
Change Research (D)[77][B] May 6–10, 2022 564 (LV) ± 4.6% 39% 42% 16%
Change Research (D)[78][B] March 26–29, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.5% 39% 40% 16%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[79][E] October 18, 2022 – – 44% 47% 9%
Impact Research (D)[74][B] August 3–7, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.5% 44% 40% 16%
Change Research (D)[78][B] March 26–29, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.5% 40% 39% 21%

Results

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2022 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election[37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Bacon (incumbent) 112,663 51.33%
Democratic Tony Vargas 106,807 48.67%
Total votes 219,470 100.00%
Republican hold

By county

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County Don Bacon
Republican		 Tony Vargas
Democratic		 Total
votes
% # % #
Douglas 48.77% 93,363 51.23% 98,055 191,418
Sarpy 65.37% 12,189 34.63% 6,457 18,646
Saunders 75.60% 7,111 24.40% 2,295 9,406

District 3

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2022 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
       
Nominee Adrian Smith David Else Mark Elworth Jr.
Party Republican Democratic Legal Marijuana Now
Popular vote 172,700 34,836 13,016
Percentage 78.30% 15.79% 5.90%
 
County results
Smith:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
U.S. Representative before election

Adrian Smith
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Adrian Smith
Republican

See also: Nebraska's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district covers most of the rural central and western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent was Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 78.5% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Endorsements

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Adrian Smith

Federal officials

Organizations

Results

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Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adrian Smith (incumbent) 89,453 76.0
Republican Mike Calhoun 28,243 24.0
Total votes 117,696 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Daniel Wik, doctor[83]

Results

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Primary results by county:
  Else
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Wik
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Tie
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Else 8,701 52.2
Democratic Daniel Wik 7,968 47.8
Total votes 16,669 100.0
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Candidates

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Nominee
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Results

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Legal Marijuana Now primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Legal Marijuana Now Mark Elworth Jr. 89 100.0
Total votes 89 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid R September 1, 2022
Inside Elections[29] Solid R September 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe R August 24, 2022
Politico[31] Solid R August 23, 2022
RCP[32] Safe R September 1, 2022
Fox News[84] Solid R August 22, 2022
DDHQ[34] Solid R September 5, 2022
FiveThirtyEight[71] Solid R September 6, 2022
The Economist[72] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

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2022 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election[85]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adrian Smith (incumbent) 172,700 78.30%
Democratic David Else 34,836 15.79%
Legal Marijuana Now Mark Elworth Jr. 13,016 5.90%
Total votes 220,552 100.00%
Republican hold

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Fortenberry's campaign
  2. ^ a b c d e This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which supports Vargas
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Vargas's campaign
  4. ^ Unclear: Poll says likely Primary voters, dates from after Primary
  5. ^ This poll was sponsored by the House Majority PAC

References

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  1. ^ a b c "General Election Official Results" (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved December 4, 2020.
  2. ^ Walton, Don (January 16, 2022). "Flood challenges Fortenberry, says indictment puts House seat at risk". Lincoln Journal Star. Archived from the original on January 16, 2022. Retrieved January 16, 2022.
  3. ^ a b c "Air Force veteran announces bid for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District". www.ketv.com. KETV. Retrieved February 5, 2022.
  4. ^ Solender, Andrew (March 26, 2022). "GOP Rep. Jeff Fortenberry resigns after conviction". Axios. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
  5. ^ a b c d e Schulte, Grant (October 21, 2021). "What could happen next with indicted US Rep. Fortenberry". Associated Press. Retrieved October 23, 2021.
  6. ^ Hammel, Paul (November 11, 2021). "Nebraska auditor not running for reelection; lieutenant governor will seek his old job". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah "Patty Pansing Brooks announces long list of bipartisan endorsements". KOLN. June 4, 2022. Retrieved September 6, 2022.
  8. ^ "Osborne endorses Flood for Congress". News Channel Nebraska. February 4, 2022. Retrieved February 5, 2022.
  9. ^ a b "Fortenberry disappointed in "friends" for choosing Mike Flood over him". KETV. January 21, 2022. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
  10. ^ a b c "NRA-PVF: Grades". NRA-PVF. Retrieved April 27, 2022.
  11. ^ "Mike Flood has Earned the Nebraska Farm Bureau Endorsement for the First Congressional District". www.nefb.org. April 5, 2022. Retrieved August 23, 2022.
  12. ^ a b c "Voter Guides – Nebraska Right to Life". Retrieved August 31, 2022.
  13. ^ a b "ELECTION ALERT: Tea Party Express Endorses Mike Flood and Don Bacon for Congress in Nebraska". Tea Party Express. July 22, 2022. Retrieved August 23, 2022.
  14. ^ Schulte, Grant (March 15, 2022). "Nebraska congressman faces high-stakes trial in California". ABC News. Retrieved March 25, 2022.
  15. ^ a b Moore Information Group (R)
  16. ^ a b c d e f "Nebraska House Primary Election Results" (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State Election Results. May 10, 2022. Retrieved May 18, 2022.
  17. ^ Walton, Don. "Don Walton: Patty Pansing Brooks preparing bif for Fortenberry House seat". Retrieved October 24, 2021.
  18. ^ Dorn, Nolan (December 6, 2021). "Jazari Kual announces run for Congress". www.klkntv.com. KLKN. Retrieved January 3, 2022.
  19. ^ Walton, Don (November 15, 2021). "Sen. Patty Pansing Brooks will seek Fortenberry's House seat". JournalStar.com.
  20. ^ Dorn, Nolan (March 9, 2022). "Lincoln Mayor Gaylor Baird endorses Sen. Pansing Brooks for Congress". KLKN-TV. Retrieved April 18, 2022.
  21. ^ Dunker, Chris (June 16, 2022). "First lady Susanne Shore endorses Pansing Brooks, countering Gov. Ricketts' pick in 1st District House race". JournalStar.com. Retrieved September 6, 2022.
  22. ^ "LABOR: Elections 2022". April 5, 2022.
  23. ^ "State teachers union endorses primary election candidates". April 7, 2022.
  24. ^ a b Dorn, Nolan (June 13, 2022). "Planned Parenthood endorses Patty Pansing Brooks, Tony Vargas for Congress". KLKN. Retrieved June 13, 2022.
  25. ^ a b "Political Endorsements". Sierra Club Nebraska Chapter. January 2017.
  26. ^ Board, Journal Star Editorial (October 15, 2022). "Editorial, 10/16: Pansing Brooks, Blood earn board endorsements". JournalStar.com. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  27. ^ "Editorial: Pansing Brooks would offer a more compassionate approach to incendiary issues". Omaha World-Herald. November 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  28. ^ a b c "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2022. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  29. ^ a b c "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. September 1, 2022. Retrieved September 6, 2022.
  30. ^ a b c "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 2, 2022. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  31. ^ a b c "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. August 23, 2022. Retrieved September 6, 2022.
  32. ^ a b c "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. September 1, 2022. Retrieved September 6, 2022.
  33. ^ a b Numa, Rémy (August 19, 2022). "Fox News Power Rankings: GOP House majority shrinks as Democrats score key victories". Fox News. Retrieved September 2, 2022.
  34. ^ a b c "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. September 5, 2022. Retrieved September 6, 2022.
  35. ^ Silver, Nate (September 6, 2022). "2022 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 6, 2022.
  36. ^ "The Economist's 2022 House Election forecast". The Economist. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  37. ^ a b Evnen (2022, p. 10)
  38. ^ "2 former House GOP candidates alerted to improper requests for Air Force records".
  39. ^ Anderson, Jake (January 5, 2022). "Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon running for reelection". www.ketv.com. KETV. Retrieved January 5, 2022.
  40. ^ a b Sanderford, Aaron (February 28, 2022). "Bacon loses lone GOP primary challenger, gains another in Omaha-area House race". Nebraska Examiner. Archived from the original on March 25, 2022. Retrieved March 27, 2022.
  41. ^ "Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle". cresenergy.com. Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions. May 4, 2022. Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. Retrieved June 7, 2022.
  42. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 22, 2022.
  43. ^ Steinhauser, Paul (March 16, 2022). "Sen. Ron Johnson tops list of Republicans endorsed by top Jewish GOP organization". www.foxnews.com. Fox News. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
  44. ^ Walton, Don (July 13, 2021). "Sen. Tony Vargas will seek metro Omaha House seat". JournalStar.com. Retrieved July 13, 2021.
  45. ^ "Alisha Shelton announces run for Nebraska's 2nd District Congressional seat". KMTV. July 6, 2021. Retrieved July 6, 2021.
  46. ^ a b c d e Hammel, Paul (April 11, 2021). "State senator, activist among possible congressional candidates in Nebraska's 2nd District". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved September 11, 2021.
  47. ^ Mutnick, Ally; Montellaro, Zach (April 12, 2021). "Where the battle for the House stands". Politico. Retrieved September 11, 2021.
  48. ^ "Endorsements". alishashelton.com. Archived from the original on April 11, 2022. Retrieved May 11, 2022.[non-primary source needed]
  49. ^ "Candidates". The Collective PAC. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
  50. ^ Sanderford, Aaron (May 6, 2022). "State Sen. Tony Vargas, Alisha Shelton square off in Omaha-area Democratic U.S. House primary". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
  51. ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Alisha Shelton for Congress". EMILY's List. November 30, 2021. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
  52. ^ Writer, Emily Nitcher World-Herald Staff (March 7, 2022). "Two Republicans and two Democrats running to represent 2nd Congressional District". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved September 2, 2022.
  53. ^ "I'm very proud to announce that I've earned the support of @NEAFLCIO. I grew up in a #union household and was myself a member of the @AFTunion when I taught middle school science , so this endorsement is especially meaningful. #TeamTony #TonyForNebraska #NebraskaValues". Twitter. Retrieved September 1, 2022.
  54. ^ "2022 CWA Endorsed Candidates - Nebraska". Communications Workers of America. May 4, 2022. Retrieved August 31, 2022.
  55. ^ "IBEW Local 22 - The following are candidates in your are..." www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 1, 2022.
  56. ^ Star, Lincoln Journal (April 7, 2022). "State teachers union endorses primary election candidates". York News-Times. Retrieved September 1, 2022.
  57. ^ "Nebraska - UAW Endorsements". United Auto Workers.
  58. ^ "314 Action Fund Endorses State Senator Tony Vargas In NE-02 Race". 314 Action. September 23, 2021. Retrieved October 16, 2021.
  59. ^ Akin, Stephanie (November 30, 2021). "Latino Democratic PAC looks to Oregon, Nebraska for 2022 pickup opportunities". www.rollcall.com. Roll Call. Retrieved November 30, 2021.
  60. ^ Bernal, Rafael (December 21, 2021). "Hispanic Dems aim to expand footprint beyond traditional Latino districts". www.thehill.com. The Hill. Retrieved December 23, 2021.
  61. ^ "Jewish Dems 2022 Endorsements". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved September 2, 2022.
  62. ^ Bernal, Rafael (September 30, 2021). "Top Latino group endorses Hispanic for Nebraska House race". The Hill. Retrieved October 16, 2021.
  63. ^ "Ton Vargas Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement for Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District". www.lcv.org. League of Conservation Voters. May 5, 2022. Retrieved May 31, 2022.
  64. ^ "Tony Vargas". Gun Sense Voter. Retrieved September 2, 2022.
  65. ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Eight Candidates for Election to the U.S. House". NARAL Pro-Choice America. September 7, 2022. Retrieved December 31, 2022.
  66. ^ NCPSSM. "Candidates We Endorse and Support". NCPSSM. Retrieved September 3, 2022.
  67. ^ "2022 Endorsed Candidates". NewDem Action Fund. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
  68. ^ a b "Bacon and Vargas to debate twice in October". News From The States. Retrieved September 1, 2022.
  69. ^ YouTube
  70. ^ "House ratings update: GOP majority could be slim". Roll Call. August 26, 2022. Retrieved September 1, 2022.
  71. ^ a b Silver, Nate (June 30, 2022). "2022 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 2, 2022.
  72. ^ a b "The Economist's 2022 House Election forecast". The Economist. Retrieved September 28, 2022.
  73. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  74. ^ a b Impact Research (D)
  75. ^ GBAO (D)
  76. ^ RMG Research
  77. ^ Change Research (D)
  78. ^ a b Change Research (D)
  79. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  80. ^ Sanderford, Aaron (January 31, 2021). "The race to replace Ricketts: Who's in, who's thinking, who's out of campaign for governor". Omaha.com. Retrieved February 3, 2021.
  81. ^ "Statewide Candidate List" (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on January 9, 2022. Retrieved April 27, 2022.
  82. ^ "Endorsement of Congressman Adrian Smith". www.donaldjtrump.com. May 3, 2022. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  83. ^ a b c "Statewide Candidate List". Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved February 25, 2022.
  84. ^ Numa, Rémy (August 22, 2022). "Fox News Power Rankings: GOP House majority shrinks as Democrats score key victories". Fox News. Retrieved September 6, 2022.
  85. ^ Evnen (2022, p. 11)
  • Evnen, Robert B. (November 8, 2022). 2022 General Canvass Book (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved December 14, 2022.
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

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