2010 Ohio gubernatorial election

2010 Ohio gubernatorial election
	Kasich: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%; Strickland: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
Governor before election; Ted Strickland; Democratic	Elected Governor ; John Kasich; Republican

The 2010 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ted Strickland ran for re-election to a second term as governor and was opposed by former U.S. Representative John Kasich; both Strickland and Kasich won their respective primaries uncontested. The race between the two major candidates was prolonged and brutal, with both candidates employing various campaign surrogates to bolster their campaigns. Ultimately, Kasich defeated Strickland.

Strickland's defeat was widely attributed to the decline of Ohio's economy, as well as the loss of 400,000 jobs since the beginning of his term. The policies of the then-president Barack Obama proved to be a hot topic among voters, with Strickland voicing his support for the healthcare overhauls initiated by Obama's administration, contrary to Kasich, who opposed the policies.^[1] As of 2023, this is the last time an incumbent governor of Ohio lost re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Ted Strickland, incumbent Governor of Ohio

Results

Democratic primary results^[2]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ted Strickland (incumbent)	630,785	100.00%
Total votes			630,785	100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

John Kasich, former U.S. Representative, Chairman of the House Budget Committee and candidate for president in 2000

Results

Republican primary results^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Kasich	746,719	100.00%
Total votes			746,719	100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Ken Matesz

Results

Libertarian Party primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Ken Matesz	4,407	100.00%
Total votes			4,407	100.00%

Green primary

Candidates

Dennis Spisak, former congressional candidate

Results

Green Party primary results^[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	Dennis Spisak	924	100.00%
Total votes			924	100.00%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report^[6]	Tossup	October 14, 2010
Rothenberg^[7]	Tilt R (flip)	October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics^[8]	Tossup	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[9]	Lean R (flip)	October 28, 2010
CQ Politics^[10]	Tossup	October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Ted Strickland (D)	John Kasich (R)
Public Policy Polling^[11]	October 28–30, 2010	48%	49%
Angus Reid Public Opinion^[12]	October 27–29, 2010	46%	49%
Survey USA^[13]	October 22–26, 2010	44%	49%
Quinnipiac University^[14]	October 18–24, 2010	43%	49%
Fox News/POR^[15]	October 23, 2010	43%	47%
CNN/Time Magazine^[16]	October 15–19, 2010	48%	46%
University of Cincinnati^[17]	October 14–18, 2010	47%	49%
Quinnipiac University^[18]	October 12–17, 2010	41%	51%
University of Cincinnati^[19]	October 8–13, 2010	43%	51%
Rasmussen Reports^[20]	October 11, 2010	45%	48%
Fox News/POR^[21]	October 9, 2010	42%	47%
Angus Reid Public Opinion^[22]	October 5–8, 2010	46%	48%
Quinnipiac University^[23]	September 29 – October 3, 2010	41%	50%
Fox News/POR^[24]	October 2, 2010	43%	49%
Rasmussen Reports^[25]	September 27, 2010	42%	50%
CBS/NY Times^[26]	September 23–27, 2010	42%	43%
Reuters/Ipsos^[27]	September 23–25, 2010	46%	47%
Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC^[28]	September 24, 2010	45%	49%
SurveyUSA^[29]	September 14, 2010	40%	52%
CNN/Time Magazine^[30]	September 10–14, 2010	44%	51%
Quinnipiac^[31]	September 9–14, 2010	37%	54%
Rasmussen Reports^[32]	September 13, 2010	43%	50%
Fox News/Pulse Research^[33]	September 11, 2010	43%	48%
The Columbus Dispatch^[34]	August 25 – September 3, 2010	37%	49%
Rasmussen Reports^[35]	August 30, 2010	39%	47%
Public Policy Polling^[36]	August 27–29, 2010	40%	50%
Rasmussen Reports^[37]	August 16, 2010	40%	48%
Reuters/Ipsos^[38]	August 6–8, 2010	39%	48%
Rasmussen Reports^[39]	August 2, 2010	42%	45%
Rasmussen Reports^[40]	July 19, 2010	43%	48%
Rasmussen Reports^[41]	June 29, 2010	40%	47%
Public Policy Polling^[42]	June 26–27, 2010	41%	43%
Quinnipiac^[43]	June 22–27, 2010	43%	38%
Rasmussen Reports^[44]	June 3, 2010	42%	47%
UC/The Ohio Poll^[45]	May 11–20, 2010	49%	44%
Rasmussen Reports^[46]	May 5, 2010	45%	46%
Quinnipiac^[47]	April 21–26, 2010	44%	38%
Research 2000^[48]	April 5–7, 2010	45%	40%
Rasmussen Reports^[49]	March 30, 2010	45%	46%
Quinnipiac^[50]	March 23–29, 2010	43%	38%
Public Policy Polling^[51]	March 20–21, 2010	37%	42%
Rasmussen Reports^[52]	March 4, 2010	38%	49%
Quinnipiac^[53]	February 16–21, 2010	44%	39%
Rasmussen Reports^[54]	February 5–6, 2010	41%	47%
The Ohio Newspaper^[55]	January 13–19, 2010	45%	51%
Ohio Right to Life^[56]	January 8–12, 2010	33%	43%
Rasmussen Reports^[57]	January 12, 2010	40%	47%
Rasmussen Reports^[58]	December 7, 2009	39%	48%
Quinnipiac^[59]	November 5–9, 2009	40%	40%
The Ohio Newspaper^[60]	October 14–20, 2009	48%	47%
Rasmussen Reports^[61]	September 23, 2009	45%	46%
Quinnipiac^[62]	September 10–13, 2009	46%	36%
Research 2000^[63]	July 8, 2009	44%	39%
Quinnipiac^[64]	June 26 – July 1, 2009	43%	38%
Public Policy Polling^[65]	June 17–19, 2009	44%	42%
Quinnipiac^[66]	April 28 – May 4, 2009	51%	32%
Quinnipiac^[67]	March 10–15, 2009	51%	31%
Quinnipiac^[68]	January 29 – February 2, 2009	56%	26%
Public Policy Polling^[69]	January 17–18, 2009	45%	39%

Results

When the polls closed on election night, the race was very close, with Strickland and Kasich neck and neck. As the night wore on, Kasich's lead began to pick up strength, however once Cuyahoga County came in, Kasich's lead began to erode. In the end Kasich still won, but it was one of the closest gubernatorial elections in Ohio history. Strickland conceded at around 2 A.M. EST.

2010 Ohio gubernatorial election^[70]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	John Kasich	1,889,186	49.04%	+12.39%
	Democratic	Ted Strickland (incumbent)	1,812,059	47.04%	−13.50%
	Libertarian	Ken Matesz	92,116	2.39%	+0.61%
	Green	Dennis Spisak	58,475	1.52%	+0.50%
	Write-in		633	0.02%	N/A
Majority			77,127	2.00%	−21.89%
Total votes			3,852,469	100.00%
	Republican gain from Democratic

By county

County^[71]	John Kasich Republican		Ted Strickland Democratic		Other votes		Total votes
County^[71]	%	#	%	#	%	#	Total votes
Adams	57.96%	4,837	38.23%	3,191	3.81%	318
Allen	57.57%	8,401	38.69%	1,936	3.74%	1,233
Ashland	60.89%	10,586	33.92%	5,897	5.19%	902
Ashtabula	42.30%	12,582	50.85%	15,128	6.86%	2,038
Athens	26.42%	4,525	70.48%	12,073	3.10%	531
Auglaize	65.79%	10,873	28.97%	4,788	1.61%	265
Belmont	43.96%	10,411	52.64%	12,467	3.40%	805
Brown	58.60%	7,803	36.76%	4,894	4.64%	618
Butler	62.69%	74,942	33.59%	40,153	3.72%	4,444

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Adams (Largest city: West Union)
Ashland (Largest city: Ashland)
Allen (Largest city: Lima)
Brown (Largest city: Georgetown)
Carroll (Largest city: Carrollton)
Champaign (Largest city: Urbana)
Clark (largest municipality: Springfield)
Clinton (Largest city: Wilmington)
Columbiana (Largest city: Salem)
Coshocton (Largest city: Coshocton)
Crawford (Largest city: Bucyrus)
Delaware (Largest city: Delaware)
Defiance (Largest city: Defiance)
Fairfield (Largest city: Lancaster)
Fayette (Largest city: Washington Court House)
Fulton (Largest city: Wauseon)
Gallia (Largest city: Gallipolis)
Geauga (Largest city: Chardon)
Guernsey (Largest city: Cambridge)
Hardin (Largest city: Kenton)
Henry (Largest city: Napoleon)
Highland (Largest city: Hillsboro)
Huron (Largest city: Norwalk)
Knox (Largest city: Mount Vernon)
Lake (Largest city: Mentor)
Licking (Largest city: Newark)
Madison (Largest city: London)
Marion (Largest city: Marion)
Medina (Largest city: Medina)
Morgan (Largest city: McConnelsville)
Morrow (Largest city: Mount Gilead)
Muskingum (Largest city: Zanesville)
Paulding (Largest city: Paulding)
Perry (Largest city: New Lexington)
Pickaway (Largest city: Circleville)
Portage (largest city: Kent)
Preble (Largest city: Eaton)
Richland (Largest city: Mansfield)
Sandusky (Largest city: Fremont)
Seneca (Largest city: Tiffin)
Stark (largest city: Canton)
Tuscarawas (largest city: New Philadelphia)
Wayne (Largest city: Wooster)
Williams (Largest city: Bryan)
Wyandot (Largest city: Upper Sandusky)

References

^ "Ohio - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved May 21, 2020.
^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Democratic: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Republican: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Libertarian: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Green: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Angus Reid Public Opinion
^ Survey USA
^ Quinnipiac University
^ Fox News/POR
^ CNN/Time Magazine
^ University of Cincinnati
^ Quinnipiac University
^ University of Cincinnati
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Fox News/POR
^ Angus Reid Public Opinion
^ Quinnipiac University
^ Fox News/POR
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ CBS/NY Times
^ Reuters/Ipsos
^ Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC
^ SurveyUSA
^ CNN/Time Magazine
^ Quinnipiac
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Fox News/Pulse Research
^ The Columbus Dispatch
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Reuters/Ipsos
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Quinnipiac
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ UC/The Ohio Poll
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Quinnipiac
^ Research 2000
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Quinnipiac
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Quinnipiac
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ The Ohio Newspaper
^ Ohio Right to Life ^{[permanent dead link‍]}
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Quinnipiac
^ The Ohio Newspaper
^ Rasmussen Reports
^ Quinnipiac
^ Research 2000
^ Quinnipiac
^ Public Policy Polling
^ Quinnipiac
^ Quinnipiac
^ Quinnipiac
^ Public Policy Polling
^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor: November 2, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us. Archived from the original on July 2, 2017. Retrieved December 31, 2012.
^ "2010 Gubernatorial General Election Results - Ohio". uselectionatlas.org. 2010. Retrieved October 3, 2024.

External links

Elections & Ballot Issues at the Ohio Secretary of State
Candidates for Ohio State Offices at Project Vote Smart
Campaign contributions for 2010 Ohio Governor from Follow the Money
2010 Ohio Gubernatorial General Election: John Kasich (R) vs Ted Strickland (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: Ohio Governor from Rasmussen Reports
2010 Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland from Real Clear Politics
2010 Ohio Governor's Race from CQ Politics
Race Profile in The New York Times

Debates

Ohio Gubernatorial Debate, C-SPAN, September 14, 2010

Official campaign websites (Archived)

[1] "Ohio - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved May 21, 2020.

[2] "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Democratic: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.

[3] "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Republican: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.

[4] "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Libertarian: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.

[5] "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Green: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.

[6] "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[7] "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[8] "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[9] "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[10] "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[11] Public Policy Polling

[12] Angus Reid Public Opinion

[13] Survey USA

[14] Quinnipiac University

[15] Fox News/POR

[16] CNN/Time Magazine

[17] University of Cincinnati

[18] Quinnipiac University

[19] University of Cincinnati

[20] Rasmussen Reports

[21] Fox News/POR

[22] Angus Reid Public Opinion

[23] Quinnipiac University

[24] Fox News/POR

[25] Rasmussen Reports

[26] CBS/NY Times

[27] Reuters/Ipsos

[28] Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC

[29] SurveyUSA

[30] CNN/Time Magazine

[31] Quinnipiac

[32] Rasmussen Reports

[33] Fox News/Pulse Research

[34] The Columbus Dispatch

[35] Rasmussen Reports

[36] Public Policy Polling

[37] Rasmussen Reports

[38] Reuters/Ipsos

[39] Rasmussen Reports

[40] Rasmussen Reports

[41] Rasmussen Reports

[42] Public Policy Polling

[43] Quinnipiac

[44] Rasmussen Reports

[45] UC/The Ohio Poll

[46] Rasmussen Reports

[47] Quinnipiac

[48] Research 2000

[49] Rasmussen Reports

[50] Quinnipiac

[51] Public Policy Polling

[52] Rasmussen Reports

[53] Quinnipiac

[54] Rasmussen Reports

[55] The Ohio Newspaper

[56] Ohio Right to Life ^{[permanent dead link‍]}

[57] Rasmussen Reports

[58] Rasmussen Reports

[59] Quinnipiac

[60] The Ohio Newspaper

[61] Rasmussen Reports

[62] Quinnipiac

[63] Research 2000

[64] Quinnipiac

[65] Public Policy Polling

[66] Quinnipiac

[67] Quinnipiac

[68] Quinnipiac

[69] Public Policy Polling

[70] "Governor and Lieutenant Governor: November 2, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us. Archived from the original on July 2, 2017. Retrieved December 31, 2012.

[71] "2010 Gubernatorial General Election Results - Ohio". uselectionatlas.org. 2010. Retrieved October 3, 2024.

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