Search Results

Expert System for Ice Hockey Game Prediction: Data Mining with Human Judgment,
Wei Gu, Thomas L. Saaty and Rozann Whitaker, in International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM) (2016)
Keywords: Prediction, expert system, hockey game, data analysis, judgment

Analysis of Correlated Expert Judgments from Extended Pairwise Comparisons,
Jason R. W. Merrick, J. Rene van Dorp and Amita Singh, in Decision Analysis (2005)
Keywords: expert judgment, pairwise comparisons, Bayesian statistics, multivariate analysis

Anticipating aging failure using feedback data and expert judgment,
Peres, François, Bouzaïene, Leïla, Jean-Claude Bocquet, Billy, François, Lannoy, André and Haïk, Philippe, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2007)
Keywords: Maintenance; Aging; Anticipation; Potential failures; Life cycle management; Expert judgment;

Expert judgment-based reliability analysis of the Dutch flood defense system,
G. Rongen, Morales-Nápoles, O. and M. Kok, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2022)
Keywords: Flood risk; Reliability analysis; Expert judgment; Cooke’s method;

Expert Elicitation of Adversary Preferences Using Ordinal Judgments,
Chen Wang and Vicki M. Bier, in Operations Research (2013)
Keywords: expert elicitation, adversarial preference, ordinal judgment, probabilistic inversion, Bayesian density estimation

Shrinking the Variance in Experts’ “Classical” Weights Used in Expert Judgment Aggregation,
Gayan Dharmarathne, Gabriela F. Nane, Andrew Robinson and Anca M. Hanea, in Forecasting (2023)
Keywords: shrinkage estimation; James–Stein; performance weights; classical model; structured expert judgment

Expert judgments for performance shaping Factors’ multiplier design in human reliability analysis,
Peng Liu, Yongping Qiu, Juntao Hu, Jiejuan Tong, Jun Zhao and Zhizhong Li, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2020)
Keywords: Human reliability analysis; Performance shaping factors; Expert judgment; Absolute probability judgment; Ratio magnitude estimation;

Probabilistic Inversion of Expert Judgments in the Quantification of Model Uncertainty,
Bernd Kraan and Tim Bedford, in Management Science (2005)
Keywords: multivariate distribution, uncertainty analysis, expert judgment, probabilistic inversion, relative information, minimum entropy, interior point method, credit scoring, environmental modeling

Potentials of blockchain technology in supply chain management: Long-term judgments of an international expert panel,
Matthias Kopyto, Sabrina Lechler, Heiko A. von der Gracht and Evi Hartmann, in Technological Forecasting and Social Change (2020)
Keywords: Blockchain; Future; Technology; Supply chain; Expert judgments; Delphi study;

Multi-dimensional barrier identification for wind farm repowering in Spain through an expert judgment approach,
Miguel de Simón-Martín, Tomás Ciria-Garcés, Enrique Rosales-Asensio and Alberto González-Martínez, in Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews (2022)
Keywords: Wind energy; Repowering; Barriers; Energy planning; Energy policies; Expert judgment;

Modeling expert judgment to assess cost-effectiveness of EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive programs of measures,
A. Kontogianni, C. Tourkolias, D. Damigos, M. Skourtos and B. Zanou, in Marine Policy (2015)
Keywords: Marine Strategy Framework Directive; Cost-effectiveness; Expert judgment; Marine economics;

When cuisine becomes less haute: The impact of expert ratings on consumers' legitimacy judgments,
Amélie Clauzel, Hélène Delacour and Sébastien Liarte, in Journal of Business Research (2019)
Keywords: Legitimacy; Neoinstitutional theory; Online review; consumers' judgment; Expert ratings; Gastronomy;

When cuisine becomes less haute: The impact of expert ratings on consumers' legitimacy judgments,
Amélie Clauzel, Hélène Delacour and Sébastien Liarte, from HAL (2019)
Keywords: Legitimacy Neoinstitutional theory,Online review consumers' judgment,Expert ratings,Gastronomy

A Delphi-based expert judgment method applied to the validation of a mature Agile framework for Web development projects,
C. J. Torrecilla-Salinas, O. Troyer, M. J. Escalona and M. Mejías, in Information Technology and Management (2019)
Keywords: Agile, Web Engineering, CMMI, Delphi, Expert judgment, Organizational issues

Optimal ordering policy for newsvendor models with bidirectional changes in demand using expert judgment,
Madhukar Nagare, Pankaj Dutta and Naoufel Cheikhrouhou, in OPSEARCH (2016)
Keywords: Inventory, Newsvendor problem, Expert judgment, Demand forecasting, Contextual information, Constraints

Quantitative and qualitative analysis of the expert and non-expert opinion in fire risk in buildings,
D.M. Hanea, H.M. Jagtman, L.L.M.M. van Alphen and B.J.M. Ale, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2010)
Keywords: Expert judgment; Expert calibration; Risk analysis;

Harnessing Expert Judgment to Support Clinical Decisions When the Evidence Base Is Weak,
James G. Dolan and Peter J. Veazie, in Medical Decision Making (2019)
Keywords: decision dashboards; expert judgment; medical decision making; prostate cancer; subjective probability

Forecasting the Resurgence of the U.S. Economy in 2010: An Expert Judgment Approach,
Andrew R. Blair, Gershon Mandelker, Thomas L. Saaty and Rozann Whitaker, in Review of Economics & Finance (2015)
Keywords: Macroeconomic forecasting, Analytic Hierarchy Process, Expert judgment approaches to economic forecasting, Forecasting U.S. economic expansions

Professional experts and ordinary consumers' judgments of motion pictures: convergence or divergence?,
Stéphane Debenedetti and Fabrice Larceneux, from HAL (2011)
Keywords: Taste,judgment,professional experts,ordinary consumers,web-users,critics,convergence,divergence,cinema

Using expert judgments to inform economic evaluation of ecosystem-based adaptation decisions: watershed management for enhancing water supply for Tegucigalpa, Honduras,
A. Procter, T. McDaniels and R. Vignola, in Environment Systems and Decisions (2017)
Keywords: Structured judgments, Expert judgments, Ecosystem-based adaptation, Decision-making under uncertainty

EXPERT JUDGMENT IN AUDIT PROGRAM PLANNING,
Ej Joyce, in Journal of Accounting Research (1976)
Keywords: Auditing, Professional Judgement, Expert judgement, Consensus

Application of Bayesian Approach to Reduce the Uncertainty in Expert Judgments by Using a Posteriori Mean Function,
Irina Vinogradova-Zinkevič, in Mathematics (2021)
Keywords: decision making; Bayesian approach; uncertainty; expert judgments; subjectivity; probability density functions; posteriori mean function

Quantification of a human reliability analysis method for radiotherapy applications based on expert judgment aggregation,
Dhruv Pandya, Luca Podofillini, Frank Emert, Antony J. Lomax, Vinh N. Dang and Giovanni Sansavini, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2020)
Keywords: Human reliability analysis; Radiotherapy; Safety analysis; Risk analysis; Expert judgment; Human error;

Uncertainty quantification of reservoir performance using machine learning algorithms and structured expert judgment,
Mohammad Fathy, Foojan Kazemzadeh Haghighi and Mohammad Ahmadi, in Energy (2024)
Keywords: Uncertainty quantification; Bayes' theorem; Machine learning; Structured expert judgment; Production forecasting;

Ranking of library and information science researchers: Comparison of data sources for correlating citation data, and expert judgments,
Jiang Li, Mark Sanderson, Peter Willett, Michael Norris and Charles Oppenheim, in Journal of Informetrics (2010)
Keywords: Expert judgments; g-index; h-index; H-index; Library and information science; Peer review;

Content Validation of an Instrument for the Assessment of School Teachers’ Levels of Knowledge of Diabetes through Expert Judgment,
Trinidad Luque-Vara, Marta Linares-Manrique, Elisabet Fernández-Gómez, Adelina Martín-Salvador, María Angustias Sánchez-Ojeda and Carmen Enrique-Mirón, in IJERPH (2020)
Keywords: content validity; expert judgment; Fleiss’ κ ; type 1 diabetes; schools; questionnaire

The Use of Expert Elicitation among Computational Modeling Studies in Health Research: A Systematic Review,
Christopher J. Cadham, Marie Knoll, Luz María Sánchez-Romero, K. Michael Cummings, Clifford E. Douglas, Alex Liber, David Mendez, Rafael Meza, Ritesh Mistry, Aylin Sertkaya, Nargiz Travis and David T. Levy, in Medical Decision Making (2022)
Keywords: computational modeling; expert elicitation; expert judgment; expert opinion; systematic review

Quality in the Performing Arts: Aggregating and Rationalizing Expert Opinion,
Stefan Tobias, in Journal of Cultural Economics (2004)
Keywords: aggregation, expert judgment, performing arts, quality,

Expertise, credibility of system forecasts and integration methods in judgmental demand forecasting,
Jorge Alvarado-Valencia, Lope H. Barrero, Dilek Önkal and Jack T. Dennerlein, in International Journal of Forecasting (2017)
Keywords: Judgmental forecasting; Expert selection; Expert elicitation method; Credibility of system forecasts;

Comments on Some Axioms for Combining Expert Judgments,
Mark J. Schervish, in Management Science (1986)
Keywords: expert opinion, pooling, axiomatic system

Improving Forecasting Performance by Exploiting Expert Knowledge: Evidence from Guangzhou Port,
Anqiang Huang, Han Qiao, Shouyang Wang and John Liu, in International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM) (2016)
Keywords: Container throughput forecast, expert knowledge, subjective judgment

Improving the practical application of the Delphi method in group-based judgment: A six-step prescription for a well-founded and defensible process,
Ian Belton, Alice MacDonald, George Wright and Iain Hamlin, in Technological Forecasting and Social Change (2019)
Keywords: Delphi; Review; Methodology; Judgment; Expert; Consensus;

DISCUSSION OF EXPERT JUDGMENT IN AUDIT PROGRAM PLANNING,
Wf Wright, in Journal of Accounting Research (1976)
Keywords: Auditing, Professional Judgement, Expert judgement, Consensus

Verification of the Risk Assessment Model through an Expert Judgment,
Renáta Turisová, Jozef Mihok and Jaroslava Kádárová, in Quality Innovation Prosperity (2012)
Keywords: Safety Improvement; probabilistic risk analysis; expert assessment; risk evaluation

A Matter of Taste: The Negative Welfare Effect of Expert Judgments,
Nicolas Lagios and Pierre-Guillaume Méon, from ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles (2023)
Keywords: Awards; Prizes; Welfare; Sales; Experts; Books; Consumer Surplus

A Matter of Taste: The Negative Welfare Effect of Expert Judgments,
Nicolas Lagios and Pierre-Guillaume Méon, from CESifo (2024)
Keywords: awards, prizes, welfare, sales, experts, books, consumer surplus

Probability Judgments for Continuous Quantities: Linear Combinations and Calibration,
Stephen C. Hora, in Management Science (2004)
Keywords: probability elicitation, linear opinion pools, expert judgment, calibration

Relative performance of judgmental methods for forecasting the success of megaprojects,
Konstantia Litsiou, Yiannis Polychronakis, Azhdar Karami and Konstantinos Nikolopoulos, in International Journal of Forecasting (2022)
Keywords: Judgmental forecasting; Megaprojects; Semi-experts; Structured analogies; Interaction groups;

Do ‘big losses’ in judgmental adjustments to statistical forecasts affect experts’ behaviour?,
Fotios Petropoulos, Robert Fildes and Paul Goodwin, in European Journal of Operational Research (2016)
Keywords: Forecasting; Judgment; Behavioural analytics; Decision support systems;

‘The Matrix Reloaded’: A review of expert knowledge use for mapping ecosystem services,
Sander Jacobs, Benjamin Burkhard, Toon Van Daele, Jan Staes and Anik Schneiders, in Ecological Modelling (2015)
Keywords: Ecosystem services; Expert judgment; Reliability; Confidence; Decision support;

Multiple Experts vs. Multiple Methods: Combining Correlation Assessments,
Robert L. Winkler and Robert T. Clemen, in Decision Analysis (2004)
Keywords: combining forecasts, correlation assessment, assessment methods, expert judgment

Inducing Rules for Expert System Development: An Example Using Default and Bankruptcy Data,
William F. Messier, Jr. and James V. Hansen, in Management Science (1988)
Keywords: artificial intelligence, expert systems, machine intelligence, judgment modeling

Expert Elicitation of the Value per Statistical Life in an Air Pollution Context,
James Hammitt, Henry A. Roman, David M. Stieb and Tyra L. Walsh, from Toulouse School of Economics (TSE) (2012)
Keywords: Value per statistical life; air pollution; expert judgment; uncertainty analysis

Calibration, sharpness and the weighting of experts in a linear opinion pool,
Stephen Hora and Erim Kardeş, in Annals of Operations Research (2015)
Keywords: Probabilistic expert judgment, Subjective probability , Scoring rules, Subject matter expert, Calibration, Quadratic score, Brier score,

Incorporating value judgments into port efficiency measurement models: insights from Turkish ports,
Samet Güner, in Maritime Economics & Logistics (2018)
Keywords: DEA, Efficiency, Expert opinion, Port, Strategic thinking, Value judgment

A liberal paradox for judgment aggregation,
Franz Dietrich and Christian List, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2004)
Keywords: liberal paradox, liberal right, expert right, subgroup rights, unanimity principle, judgment aggregation, empathy, deferral, tolerance, agnosticism

Using a rolling training approach to improve judgmental extrapolations elicited from forecasters with technical knowledge,
Fotios Petropoulos, Paul Goodwin and Robert Fildes, in International Journal of Forecasting (2017)
Keywords: Judgmental forecasting; Unaided judgments; Rolling training; Feedback; Time series; Expert knowledge elicitation;

Confidence levels and likelihood terms in IPCC reports: a survey of experts from different scientific disciplines,
A. Kause, W. Bruine de Bruin, J. Persson, H. Thorén, L. Olsson, A. Wallin, S. Dessai and N. Vareman, in Climatic Change (2022)
Keywords: Uncertainty, Communication, Confidence, Probability, Expert judgment, Scientific assessment, IPCC

Expert judgments calibration and combination for assessment of river levee failure probability,
Michel Hathout, Marc Vuillet, Claudio Carvajal, Laurent Peyras and Youssef Diab, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2019)
Keywords: Structural reliability; Subjective probability; Levees, Expert judgement; Elicitation; Calibration;

How well do financial experts perform? A review of empirical research on performance of analysts, day-traders, forecasters, fund managers, investors, and stockbrokers,
Patric Andersson, from Stockholm School of Economics (2004)
Keywords: Behavioral finance; Expert judgment; Financial psychology; Forecasting; Investment; Trading; Performance

Getting the Right Mix of Experts,
Jason R. W. Merrick, in Decision Analysis (2008)
Keywords: decision analysis, inference, expert judgment aggregation, forecasting, combining, statistics, Bayesian, nonparametric, Dirichlet process mixtures

Evaluation of Payoff Matrices for Non-Cooperative Games via Processing Binary Expert Estimations,
Romanuke Vadim, in Information Technology and Management Science (2016)
Keywords: Estimation procedure, expert’s binary judgment, non-cooperative game, payoff averages, payoff matrice evaluation

Bayesian Hierarchical Framework from Expert Elicitation in the South African Coal Mining Industry for Compliance Testing,
Felix Made, Ngianga-Bakwin Kandala and Derk Brouwer, in IJERPH (2023)
Keywords: expert judgments; expert elicitation; exposure control categories; the 95th percentile; historical data

Quantifying the Effects of Expert Selection and Elicitation Design on Experts’ Confidence in their Judgments about Future Energy Technologies,
Gregory Nemet, Laura Diaz Anadon and Elena Verdolini, from Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (2016)
Keywords: Expert Elicitations, Uncertainty, Energy Technologies, Heuristic Biases, Survey Design

Forecasting adversarial actions using judgment decomposition-recomposition,
Yolanda Gomez, Jesus Rios, David Rios Insua and Jose Vila, in International Journal of Forecasting (2025)
Keywords: Structured expert judgment; Adversarial risk analysis; Discrete choice models; Behavioural experiments; Decision analysis;

Do experts' SKU forecasts improve after feedback?,
Rianne Legerstee and Philip Hans Franses, from Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute (2011)
Keywords: cognitive process feedback, expert forecasts, judgmental adjustment, model forecasts, outcome feedback, performance feedback, task properties feedback

Who is an expert for foresight? A review of identification methods,
Stefanie Mauksch, Heiko A. von der Gracht and Theodore J. Gordon, in Technological Forecasting and Social Change (2020)
Keywords: Expert identification; Expertise; Foresight; Judgment; Forecasting; Literature review; Delphi method; Scenarios; Future; Knowledge;

Forecasting the fast and frugal way: A study of performance and information-processing strategies of experts and non-experts when predicting the World Cup 2002 in soccer,
Patric Andersson, Mattias Ekman and Jan Edman, from Stockholm School of Economics (2003)
Keywords: Expert predictions; Information use; Judgmental forecasting; Overconfidence; Recognition heuristic; Sports forecasting

Methods for building Conditional Probability Tables of Bayesian Belief Networks from limited judgment: An evaluation for Human Reliability Application,
L. Mkrtchyan, L. Podofillini and V.N. Dang, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2016)
Keywords: Bayesian Belief Networks; Human Reliability Analysis; Expert judgment; Conditional Probability Tables;

A Bayesian approach to treat expert-elicited probabilities in human reliability analysis model construction,
L. Podofillini and V.N. Dang, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2013)
Keywords: Probabilistic safety assessment; Human reliability analysis; Expert judgment; Subjective probabilities; Bayesian methods;

Rule-Based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations,
Fred Collopy and J. Armstrong, in Management Science (1992)
Keywords: combining forecasts, expert systems, extrapolation, judgment, rule base, rule-based forecasting

Do Experts' SKU Forecasts improve after Feedback?,
Rianne Legerstee and Philip Hans Franses, from Tinbergen Institute (2011)
Keywords: model forecasts, expert forecasts, judgmental adjustment, feedback, outcome feedback, performance feedback, cognitive process feedback, task properties feedback

How Expert Are the Experts?,
J. Armstrong, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2005)
Keywords: experts, forecasting

How Expert Are the Experts?,
J. Armstrong, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2005)
Keywords: experts, forecast

Value judgment and economics expertise,
Antoinette Baujard, from HAL (2014)
Keywords: value judgments

Value judgment and economics expertise,
Antoinette Baujard, from HAL (2014)
Keywords: value judgments

Value judgment and economics expertise,
Antoinette Baujard, from HAL (2015)
Keywords: value judgments

Value judgments and economics expertise,
Antoinette Baujard, from HAL (2015)
Keywords: value judgments

A traceable process to develop Bayesian networks from scarce data and expert judgment: A human reliability analysis application,
Luca Podofillini, Bernhard Reer and Vinh N. Dang, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2023)
Keywords: Bayesian belief networks; Human reliability analysis; Event and accident analysis; Errors of commission; Expert judgement;

Hybridising Human Judgment, AHP, Grey Theory, and Fuzzy Expert Systems for Candidate Well Selection in Fractured Reservoirs,
Fanhui Zeng, Xiaozhao Cheng, Jianchun Guo, Liang Tao and Zhangxin Chen, in Energies (2017)
Keywords: fractured reservoirs; analytic hierarchy process (AHP); grey theory; fuzzy expert system; candidate wells selection; field application

Evaluating the knowledge, relevance and experience of expert decision makers utilizing the Fuzzy-AHP,
S. Aly and I. Vrana, in Agricultural Economics (2008)
Keywords: Group Decision Making, Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), Fuzzy-AHP, experts judgments, ill-structured decision making, decision making weights/importance's

Modeling uncertainty of expert elicitation for use in risk-based optimization,
Michael D. Teter, Johannes O. Royset and Alexandra M. Newman, in Annals of Operations Research (2019)
Keywords: Exponential epi-splines, Nonparametric density estimation, Optimization, Mathematical programming, Capital budgeting, Judgment elicitation, Subject matter expert, Superquantile

Judgment Aggregation,
Dorothea Baumeister, Gábor Erdélyi and Jörg Rothe, from Springer (2016)
Keywords: Majority Rule, Median Property, Individual Judgment, Judgment Aggregation, Shoot Range

Experts and Non-experts,
Irene Valsecchi, from Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (2007)
Keywords: Opinion, Expert, Instructions

Supporting Judgment in Predictive Analytics: Scenarios and Judgmental Forecasts,
Dilek Önkal, M. Sinan Gönül and Paul Goodwin, from Springer (2023)
Keywords: Scenario, Judgment, Forecast, Uncertainty

A simple ultrafilter proof for an impossibility theorem in judgment aggregation,
Christian Klamler and Daniel Eckert, in Economics Bulletin (2009)
Keywords: judgment aggregation

Economic Analysis in a Central Bank - Models Versus Judgment,
Lionel Price, from Centre for Central Banking Studies, Bank of England (1996)
Keywords: Models, Judgment

On salesperson judgment and decision making,
Son K. Lam and Michel Borgh, in Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science (2021)
Keywords: Salespeople, Decision making, Judgment

Predatory trading: ethics judgments, legality judgments and investment intentions,
Daphne Sobolev and James Clunie, in Review of Behavioral Finance (2022)
Keywords: Predatory trading, Ethics judgment, Legal judgment

Consumer Judgment of Morally-Questionable Behaviors: The Relationship Between Ethical and Legal Judgments,
Daphne Sobolev and Niklas Voege, in Journal of Business Ethics (2020)
Keywords: Legal judgment, Ethical judgment, Mind-set

An Axiomatic Approach to Expert Resolution,
Peter A. Morris, in Management Science (1983)
Keywords: expert, expert resolution, decision analysis

A Global Law of Jurisdiction and Judgments: Views from the United States and Japan,
Kevin Clermont, from Cornell Law School
Keywords: Judgments, Japan,

Accuracy of judgmental forecasts: A comparison,
Nr Sanders, in Omega (1992)
Keywords: judgmental forecasting judgmental revision forecasting accuracy forecast bias

Spiritual Discernment as a Method of Judgment,
Luk Bouckaert, from Springer (2017)
Keywords: Business Ethic, Leadership Style, Good Judgment, Aesthetic Judgment, Ethical Imperative

A Daniel Come to Judgment,
Krishna Pillai, from Springer (2011)
Keywords: Actionable Conclusion, Intuitive Judgment, Habitual Behaviour, Judgment Process, Sound Process

Justifications of the implementation of foreign judgments in Jordan,
Nawal Hussien Jamil AL-Syaidh and Ghassan S. Obeidat, in Journal of Social Sciences (COES&RJ-JSS) (2016)
Keywords: Foreign judgments, Jordan

Convex combinations in judgment aggregation,
Johannes G. Jaspersen, in European Journal of Operational Research (2022)
Keywords: Forecasting; Judgment aggregation; Wisdom of the crowd;

AGGREGATION METHODS FOR FUZZY JUDGMENTS,
A. Syed, Ismat Beg and A. Khalid, in Fuzzy Economic Review (2016)
Keywords: judgment aggregation, fuzzy, collective decision

Litigation with Default Judgments,
Farmer Amy and Paul Pecorino, in Review of Law & Economics (2014)
Keywords: litigation, asymmetric information, default judgment

Judgment aggregation functions and ultraproducts,
Frederik Herzberg, from Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University (2011)
Keywords: Judgment aggregation function, Ultrafilter, Ultraproduct