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The role of debt contracts in analyst earnings forecasts,
Bishal Bc and Sharif Esfahani,
in Journal of Economics and Business
(2020)
Keywords: Forecast revisions; Forecast errors; Debt contracts; Equity analysts;
Worse Than You Think: Public Debt Forecast Errors in Advanced and Developing Economies,
Jonathan Ostry, Julia Estefania Flores, Davide Furceri and Siddharth Kothari,
from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
(2021)
Keywords: Public debt; Forecast errors
Don’t blame the government!? An assessment of debt forecast errors with a view to the EU Economic Governance Review,
Alena Bachleitner and Doris Prammer,
in European Journal of Political Economy
(2024)
Keywords: Government debt; Debt forecast error; Forecast evaluation; Fiscal rules;
Which cost of debt should be used in forecasting cash flows?,
Ignacio Velez-Pareja,
from Master Consultores
(2007)
Keywords: Cost of debt, forecasting financial statements, seasonality
WHICH COST OF DEBT SHOULD BE USED IN FORECASTING CASH FLOWS?,
Ignacio Velez-Pareja,
in Estudios Gerenciales
(2009)
Keywords: Cost of debt, forecasting financial statements, seasonality.
The Effects of Analyst Forecast Properties on the Cost of Debt: International Evidence,
Narjess Boubakri, Sadok El Ghoul, Omrane Guedhami and Anis Samet,
from School of Business Administration, American University of Sharjah
Keywords: Analyst Forecasts, Disclosure, Creditor Rights, Cost of Debt
The impact of executive inside debt on sell-side financial analyst forecast characteristics,
Avishek Bhandari, Babak Mammadov and Maya Thevenot,
in Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting
(2018)
Keywords: Inside debt, Information environment, Analyst forecasts
Analysing and Forecasting the Debt Burden of the EU Countries: Is There a New European Debt Crisis on the Horizon?,
Dimcho Shopov,
in Economic Archive
(2020)
Keywords: fiscal policy, sovereign debt, debt crisis, European Union, forecasting
Identifying Fiscal Policy Transmission in Stochastic Debt Forecasts,
Kei Kawakami and Rafael Romeu,
from International Monetary Fund
(2011)
Keywords: WP;interest rate;real GDP;mn mathvariant; Debt sustainability; forecasting; Brazil; IMF; reaction function; fiscal policy feedback; motion equation; transmission identification; forecasting framework; debt projection; simulation model; debt sustainability fan; baseline debt; forecasted debt decline; debt reduction effects; stochastic debt forecasting framework; Fiscal stance; Real interest rates; Production growth; Output gap; Global
The Impact of Forecast Errors on Fiscal Planning and Debt Accumulation,
Ademmer Martin and Jens Boysen-Hogrefe,
in Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik)
(2022)
Keywords: fiscal policy, fiscal planning, medium run forecasting, budget balance, public debt
The impact of forecast errors on fiscal planning and debt accumulation,
Martin Ademmer and Jens Boysen-Hogrefe,
from Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)
(2019)
Keywords: fiscal policy, fiscal planning, medium run forecasting, budget balance, public debt
Government debt forecast errors and the net expenditure rule in EU countries: Undue optimism at a cost,
David Cronin and Kieran McQuinn,
in Journal of Policy Modeling
(2023)
Keywords: EU fiscal rules; Government debt; Forecast errors;
Systemic bias of IMF reserve and debt forecasts for program countries,
Theo S. Eicher and Reina Kawai,
in International Journal of Forecasting
(2024)
Keywords: IMF forecasts; BOP crises; Financial crises; Debt crises; Biased and inefficient forecasts; IMF program countries;
Financial Liquidity and Debt Recovery Efficiency Forecasting in a Small Industrial Enterprise,
Jerzy Witold Wiśniewski,
in Risks
(2022)
Keywords: econometric micromodel; econometric forecasting; small industrial enterprise; financial liquidity; debt recovery efficiency
How biased are U.S. government forecasts of the federal debt?,
Neil Ericsson,
in International Journal of Forecasting
(2017)
Keywords: Autometrics; Bias; Debt; Federal government; Forecasts; Impulse indicator saturation; Projections; United States;
How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?,
Neil Ericsson,
from The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting
(2017)
Keywords: Autometrics, bias, debt, federal government, forecasts, impulse indicator saturation, heteroscedasticity, projections, United States.
How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?,
Neil Ericsson,
from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
(2017)
Keywords: Autometrics; Bias; Debt; Federal government; Forecasts; Impulse indicator saturation; heteroskedasticity; Projections; United States
The strong increase of Austrian government debt in the Kreisky era: Austro-Keynesianism or just stubborn forecast errors?,
Florian Brugger and Joern Kleinert,
from University of Graz, Department of Economics
(2017)
Keywords: Fiscal policy; Government debt; Forecast errors; Narrative economics
The strong increase of Austrian government debt in the Kreisky era: Austro-Keynesianism or just stubborn forecast errors?,
Florian Brugger and Joern Kleinert,
in Empirica
(2019)
Keywords: Fiscal policy, Government debt, Forecast errors, Narrative economics
Does Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Help in Forecasting the US Equity Risk Premium?,
Goodness C. Aye, Frederick W. Deale and Rangan Gupta,
in Panoeconomicus
(2016)
Keywords: : Equity risk premium forecasting, Debt ceiling, Government shutdown, Out-of-sample forecasts, Asset allocation
How good are US government forecasts of the federal debt?,
Andrew Martinez,
in International Journal of Forecasting
(2015)
Keywords: Evaluating Forecasts; Government Forecasting; Macroeconomic Forecasts; Forecast Encompassing; Deficit;
DEBT SUSTAINABILITY FORECASTING. CASE OF ROMANIA,
Cristina Nicolescu, Oana Lobonţ and Nicoleta-Claudia Moldovan,
in Theoretical and Applied Economics
(2011)
Keywords: public debt; sustainability; interest rate; fiscal policy; budget policy.
Explaining Private Debt,
Lenno Uusküla,
in Review of Economic Analysis
(2016)
Keywords: "private debt, macroeconomic conditions, correlation, forecasting "
Debt spikes and stock flow adjustments: Emerging economies in perspective,
Laura Jaramillo, Carlos Mulas-Granados and Elijah Kimani,
in Journal of Economics and Business
(2017)
Keywords: Public debt; Debt spikes; Stock flow adjustment; Debt forecasting;
Fiscal Deficit and Debt Conditions for China,
Yingqiu Liu, Hung-Gay Fung and Zijun Wang,
in Emerging Markets Finance and Trade
(2005)
Keywords: debt rate, deficitdebt identity, fiscal deficit, forecasting,
Does Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Help in Forecasting the US Equity Risk Premium?,
Goodness Aye, Frederick Deale and Rangan Gupta,
from University of Pretoria, Department of Economics
(2014)
Keywords: Equity risk premium forecasting, macroeconomic variables, moving averages, momentum, volume, debt ceiling, government shutdown, out-of-sample forecasts, asset allocation, economic uncertainty, business cycle
How Good Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?,
Andrew Martinez,
from University of Oxford, Department of Economics
(2014)
Keywords: Evaluating Forecasts, Government Forecasting, Macroeconomic Forecasts, Forecast Encompassing, Deficit
Quantiles of growth: Household debt and growth vulnerabilities in Finland,
Juho Nyholm and Ville Voutilainen,
from Bank of Finland
(2021)
Keywords: household debt, GDP forecasting, quantile regression
Budget Forecasts,
Nicolas Carnot, Vincent Koen and Bruno Tissot,
from Palgrave Macmillan
(2005)
Keywords: Fiscal Policy, Public Debt, Public Spending, Budget Balance, Economic Forecast
THE EVOLUTION OF PUBLIC DEBT, GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AND INFLATION RATE IN POLAND IN 2015-2021,
Aleksandra Lipka, Daria Nowacka and Andrzej Rzeszutek,
in OLSZTYN ECONOMIC JOURNAL
(2022)
Keywords: GDP, sovereign debt forecast, national budget forecasting, national budget, inflation
Prediction of debt crisis in Southern African Development Community (SADC),
Crispen Chirume,
in International Area Studies Review
(2023)
Keywords: Debt crisis prediction; logistic regression; governance and debt crisis; commodities and debt crisis forecasting; event studies; forecasting of debt crisis in SADC; public defaults
МОДЕЛИ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ ОБЪЕМА ПРОСРОЧЕННОЙ ЗАДОЛЖЕННОСТИ ПО КРЕДИТАМ // FORECASTING MODELS THE VOLUME OF OVERDUE DEBT ON LOANS,
N. Karabutov N., V. Feklin G., Н. Карабутов Н. and В. Феклин Г.,
in Финансы: теория и практика/Finance: Theory and Practice // Finance: Theory and Practice
(2017)
Keywords: loan; overdue debt; parametric identification; regression model; lagged variables; forecasting;кредит; просроченная задолженность; параметрическая идентификация; регрессионная мо- дель; лаговые переменные; прогнозирование
MICROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF GROWING PUBLIC DEBT ON THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY,
Mstislav Afanasyev and Nataliya Shash,
in Public administration issues
(2016)
Keywords: public debt, microeconomic development, economic growth, budget policy, budget forecast, public budget, debt policy, debt strategy
Public Debt Vulnerability Analysis,
Mariana Paja,
in Eco-Economics Review
(2015)
Keywords: public debt, international reserves, grade liquidity, public debt vulnerability, forecasting external financial crises
Fiscal sustainability and the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts: Do supranational forecasts rather than government forecasts make a difference?,
Carlos Fonseca Marinheiro,
in International Journal of Sustainable Economy
(2011)
Keywords: debt sustainability; public debt; fiscal policy; Stability and Growth Pact; SGP; fiscal forecasting; forecast evaluation; real-time data; supranational forecasts; government forecasts; sustainable development; European Commission.
Comment on “How Biased are US Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?”,
Edward N. Gamber and Jeffrey P. Liebner,
in International Journal of Forecasting
(2017)
Keywords: Impulse indicator saturation; Forecast bias; Model misspecification;
Assessing macroeconomic forecasts for Japan under an asymmetric loss function,
Yoichi Tsuchiya,
in International Journal of Forecasting
(2016)
Keywords: Macroeconomic forecasting; Government forecasts; Asymmetric loss; Forecast evaluation; Rationality; Debt accumulation;
Macroeconomic forecasts and microeconomic forecasters in the Survey of Professional Forecasters,
Tom Stark,
from Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
(1997)
Keywords: Forecasting
Forecasts 1983,
Roy H. Webb,
in Economic Review
(1983)
Keywords: Forecasting
Forecasts 1984,
Roy H. Webb,
in Economic Review
(1984)
Keywords: Forecasting
Forecasts 1975,
William E. Cullison,
in Economic Review
(1975)
Keywords: Forecasting
Forecasts 1982,
Roy H. Webb,
in Economic Review
(1982)
Keywords: Forecasting
Forecasts 1985,
Roy H. Webb,
in Economic Review
(1985)
Keywords: Forecasting
Why is there debt?,
Jeffrey Lacker,
in Economic Review
(1991)
Keywords: Debt
Sovereign Debt,
Jonathan Eaton and Raquel Fernandez,
from Boston University - Department of Economics
(1995)
Keywords: DEBT
Debt in the 1990s,
Francesca Eugeni, Steven Strongin and Paula R. Worthington,
in Chicago Fed Letter
(1993)
Keywords: Debt
Monetizing the debt,
Daniel Thornton,
in Economic Synopses
(2010)
Keywords: Debt
The Blind Side of Public Debt Spikes,
Laura Jaramillo, Carlos Mulas-Granados and Elijah Kimani,
from International Monetary Fund
(2016)
Keywords: WP;debt spike;spike episode;debt accumulation;debt forecast;path syndrome; Public Debt; Debt Spikes; Stock Flow Adjsutment; SFA; Debt Forecasting; debt decomposition analysis; debt decrease; Debt sustainability analysis; Contingent liabilities; Government debt management; Inflation; Global; SFA component; General government debt
Fiscal sustainability and the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts: do supranational forecasts rather than government forecasts make a difference?,
Carlos Marinheiro,
from GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra
(2010)
Keywords: Sustainability of public debt; Fiscal policy; Stability and Growth Pact; Fiscal forecasting; forecast evaluation; real-time data.
Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Models for Panel Data Forecasting: Debt Policy in Taiwan,
Hsiao-Tien Pao and Yao-Yu Chih,
in Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP)
(2005)
Keywords: Artificial neural networks, TSCS regression, forecasting, capital structure, panel data
How Sustainable Are Public Debt Levels in Emerging Europe?,
Markus Eller and Jarmila Urvová,
in Focus on European Economic Integration
(2012)
Keywords: Public debt sustainability, fiscal reaction function, fan charts, stochastic simulations, public debt forecast, Central and Eastern Europe
Public Debt Sustainability in Western Balkan Countries,
Aleksandar Zdravkovic and Aleksandra Bradic-Martinovic,
from Institute of Economic Sciences
(2012)
Keywords: Debt sustainability assessment, debt-to-GDP forecast, Vector Autoregression Model, impulse response analysis, Western Balkan
Internal public debt and economic growth: a case study of Ukraine,
Serhii Shvets,
from University Library of Munich, Germany
(2017)
Keywords: public debt, government bonds, GDP forecasting, econometric analysis, scenario modeling.
Budget deficits, government debt, and long-term interest rates in Japan,
Keigo Kameda,
in Journal of the Japanese and International Economies
(2014)
Keywords: Budget deficit; Government debt; Interest rate; Event study; Published forecasts;
The macroeconomic impact of the sovereign debt crisis: a counterfactual analysis for the Italian economy,
Fabio Busetti and Pietro Cova,
from Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area
(2013)
Keywords: Italian economy, european sovereign debt crisis, forecasting and simulation
Improving forecast accuracy by combining recursive and rolling forecasts,
Todd Clark and Michael McCracken,
from Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
(2004)
Keywords: Forecasting
\"Forecasting the forecasts of others.\" Expectational heterogeneity and aggregate dynamics,
Antulio Bomfim,
from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
(1996)
Keywords: Forecasting
Directional analysis of fiscal sustainability: Revisiting Domar's debt sustainability condition,
Yoichi Tsuchiya,
in International Review of Economics & Finance
(2016)
Keywords: Government forecasts; Debt sustainability; Forecast evaluation; Market-timing test; Nonparametric methods;
Debt dilution and seniority in a model of defaultable sovereign debt,
Satyajit Chatterjee and Burcu Eyigungor,
from Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
(2013)
Keywords: Debt
Emerging economies’ short-term private external debt as evidence of economic crisis,
Oya Ekici and Ali Nemlioğlu,
in Journal of Policy Modeling
(2017)
Keywords: Short term private external debt; Economic crisis; Linear growth model; Bayesian estimation and forecasting; Debt indicators;
Comparing economic forecasts,
Anonymous,
in Financial Update
(2003)
Keywords: Forecasting
The Strange Case of the Lagging Forecasts,
Everette S. Gardner,
in Interfaces
(1984)
Keywords: forecasting
Unstable Weights in the Combination of Forecasts,
Heejoon Kang,
in Management Science
(1986)
Keywords: forecasting
Grinkevych's Model of forecasting,
Dmitry,
from University Library of Munich, Germany
(2005)
Keywords: forecasting
Forecasting crashes with a smile,
Ian Martin and Ran Shi,
from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
(2023)
Keywords: forecasts
Forecasting using relative entropy,
John Robertson, Ellis Tallman and Charles Whiteman,
from Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
(2002)
Keywords: Forecasting
Assessment of the \"official\" economic forecasts,
Stephen K. McNees,
in New England Economic Review
(1995)
Keywords: Forecasting
Why do forecasts differ?,
Stephen K. McNees,
in New England Economic Review
(1989)
Keywords: Forecasting
Consensus forecasts: tyranny of the majority?,
Stephen K. McNees,
in New England Economic Review
(1987)
Keywords: Forecasting
Evaluating long-horizon forecasts,
Todd Clark and Michael McCracken,
from Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
(2001)
Keywords: Forecasting
Forecasting with an adaptive control algorithm,
Donald S. Allen, Yang-Woo Kim and Meenakshi Pasupathy,
from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
(1996)
Keywords: Forecasting
Advances in forecast evaluation,
Todd Clark and Michael McCracken,
from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
(2011)
Keywords: Forecasting
Evaluating density forecasts,
Francis Diebold, Todd A. Gunther and Anthony S Tay,
from Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
(1997)
Keywords: Forecasting
A framework for economic forecasting,
Neil Ericsson and Jaime R. Marquez,
from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
(1998)
Keywords: Forecasting
Forecast evaluation and combination,
Francis Diebold and Jose Lopez,
from Federal Reserve Bank of New York
(1995)
Keywords: Forecasting
Introducing: the survey of professional forecasters,
Dean Croushore,
in Business Review
(1993)
Keywords: Forecasting
Cointegration and long-horizon forecasting,
Peter Christoffersen and Francis Diebold,
from Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
(1997)
Keywords: Forecasting
Suriname: Technical Assistance Report-Medium-Term Macro-Fiscal Forecasting,
International Monetary Fund,
from International Monetary Fund
(2023)
Keywords: EAD staff; staff time; Suriname debt management office; EAD forecast; MFP staff; Macroeconomic and fiscal forecasts; Revenue forecasting; Caribbean
The Legitimate Repudiation of a Nation's Debts,
Nicolaus Tideman and Sharon Lockwood,
in Eastern Economic Journal
(1993)
Keywords: Debt
Jargon Alert: National debt,
David Van Den Berg,
in Economic Quarterly
(2009)
Keywords: Debt
Collateralized debt as the optimal contract,
Jeffrey Lacker,
from Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
(1998)
Keywords: Debt
On the macroeconomics of private debt,
Keith Carlson,
in Review
(1993)
Keywords: Debt
On the needed quantity of government debt,
Kathryn Birkeland and Edward Prescott,
in Quarterly Review
(2007)
Keywords: Debt
Self-fulfilling debt crises,
Harold Cole and Timothy Kehoe,
from Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
(1998)
Keywords: Debt
The optimum quantity of debt,
S. Aiyagari and Ellen McGrattan,
from Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
(1997)
Keywords: Debt
Interpreting estimates of forecast bias,
Neil Ericsson,
in International Journal of Forecasting
(2017)
Keywords: Bias; Debt; Federal government; Forecasts; Impulse indicator saturation; Heteroscedasticity; United States;
Prospects for the Growth of Debt in Selected SIDS,
David Tennant and Kario-Paul Brown,
from Palgrave Macmillan
(2014)
Keywords: International Monetary Fund, Fiscal Policy, Public Debt, Baseline Scenario, Forecast Horizon
Determinants of Public Debt for middle income and high income group countries using Panel Data regression,
Pankaj Sinha, Varun Arora and Vishakha Bansal,
from University Library of Munich, Germany
(2011)
Keywords: Public debt, panel data,debt forecasting, Cross section fixed effects, cross section random effects
FACTORS OF THE DEBT BURDEN IN URBAN DISTRICTS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION WITH A POPULATION OF MORE THAN 100 THOUSAND PEOPLE,
Zemlyanskii Dmitriy (Землянский, Дмитрий), Chuzhenkova, Valeria (Чуженькова, Валерия), Abdullaev, Alexander (Абдуллаев, Александр), Kalinovskiy, Leonid (Калиновский, Леонид), Kulikov, Vladimir (Куликов, Владимир), Medvednikova, Darina (Медведникова, Дарина) and Shampurov, Ivan (Шампуров, Иван),
from Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
(2021)
Keywords: Municipal debt, municipal borrowings, municipal budget, debt obligations, debt burden, factors of debt, forecasting debt, cities of Russia, urban districts of the Russian Federation, urban development
Research confirms rationality of analysts' forecasts,
Anonymous,
in Economics Update
(1994)
Keywords: Forecasting
Note: Further Notes on Lagging Forecasts,
Everette S. Gardner,
in Interfaces
(1985)
Keywords: forecasting
Vector autoregressions as a tool for forecast evaluations,
Roy H. Webb,
in Economic Review
(1984)
Keywords: Forecasting
Forecasts 1977: a persistent but gradual expansion,
William E. Cullison,
in Economic Review
(1977)
Keywords: Forecasting
Toward more accurate macroeconomic forecasts,
Roy H. Webb,
in Economic Review
(1985)
Keywords: Forecasting
Forecasts 1981: hope springs eternal,
William E. Cullison,
in Economic Review
(1981)
Keywords: Forecasting
Combining Qualitative Forecasts Using Logit,
M Kamastra and Peter Kennedy,
from Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University
(1996)
Keywords: FORECASTS
How large are economic forecast errors?,
Stephen K. McNees,
in New England Economic Review
(1992)
Keywords: Forecasting
Combining forecasts from nested models,
Todd Clark and Michael McCracken,
from Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
(2006)
Keywords: Forecasting
The use of prior information in forecast combination,
Francis Diebold and Peter Pauly,
from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
(1987)
Keywords: Forecasting
The past, present, and future of macroeconomic forecasting,
Francis Diebold,
from Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
(1997)
Keywords: Forecasting