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Is India Ready for Flexible Inflation-Targeting?

Abhijit Sen Gupta and Rajeswari Sengupta

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: In this paper we analyze whether the current macroeconomic environment in India is suitable for implementation of inflation targeting as a monetary policy strategy, in light of the recommendation of the Urjit Patel Committee Report. Our results indicate that historically the Reserve Bank of India has given more importance to inflation compared to output growth and exchange rate changes in its monetary policy conduct and that in recent times there has been an increased emphasis on monetary independence thereby comfortably placing the RBI on a path to move towards flexible inflation targeting. However we also find factors, which are traditionally outside the control of monetary policy do exert a strong impact on aggregate prices in India thereby making the choice of nominal anchor a tricky one. Furthermore, the success of monetary policy in containing inflation is found to be crucially contingent on an appropriate fiscal policy as well.

Keywords: Reserve Bank of India; Monetary Policy; Taylor Rule; Financial trilemma; Inflation; Nominal anchor; Fiscal deficit (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E43 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-06-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/56430/1/MPRA_paper_56430.pdf original version (application/pdf)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/57463/1/MPRA_paper_57463.pdf revised version (application/pdf)

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Working Paper: Is India ready for flexible inflation-targeting? (2014) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:56430

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