Modélisation de la résilience post-cyclonique à Mananjary: Une analyse Probit Multivariée

Modeling post-cyclone resilience in Mananjary: A Multivariate Probit Analysis

Armel R. Raveloson, Josué R. Andrianady, Kanto J. Andrianavony, Rija R. Randriamanantena, Avo L. Randriamanantena and Junot L. Randriamizana

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This article analyzes the territorial resilience of the Mananjary district in Madagascar in response to tropical cyclones, focusing on the communes of Tsaravary and Tsarahafatra. The study employs a multivariate Probit model to examine three hypotheses: the relevance of resilience policies, the impact of adaptation strategies on resilience, and the relationship between improved agricultural practices and resilience to cyclones. Data is sourced from surveys of 1,180 households, interviews with local and international institutions, and climatic data related to past cyclones such as Batsirai, Freddy, and Alvaro. Additional funding could enhance this study by expanding the sample size, strengthening data collection, and deepening the analysis. This would also facilitate a more detailed exploration of the long-term impacts of cyclones and broaden the proposed adaptation strategies.

Keywords: Resilience; vulnerability; territory; shock; adaptive capacity. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C35 C51 H84 I32 O13 O18 Q12 Q54 Q58 R11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-12-02
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