Tourism and insecurity in the world

Simplice Asongu, Joseph Uduji and Elda Okolo-Obasi

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The study assesses the role of forces of law and order in modulating the insecurity-tourism nexus in 163 countries for the period 2010 to 2015. Policy syndromes or insecurity dynamics include: violent crime, access to weapons, political instability and perception of criminality while the policy variables of forces of law and order are captured with “security officers & police” and “armed service personnel”. The empirical evidence is based on Negative Binomial regressions. The findings show that the policy variables can be effectively used to crowd-out the negative incidence of policy syndromes on tourist arrivals. The results are contingent on net effects (from conditional and unconditional effects), insecurity dynamics and thresholds. A threshold is an inflexion point at which the unfavorable unconditional effect from a policy syndrome of insecurity on tourist arrivals is completely neutralized by policy variables of forces of law and order. Policy implications are discussed.

Keywords: Insecurity; Peace; Tourism (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 Z0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-tur
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (26)

Published in International Review of Economics 4.66(2019): pp. 453-472

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Related works:
Journal Article: Tourism and insecurity in the world (2019)
Working Paper: Tourism and insecurity in the world (2019)
Working Paper: Tourism and insecurity in the world (2019)
Working Paper: Tourism and insecurity in the world (2019)
Working Paper: Tourism and insecurity in the world (2019)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:101096

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