Climate Change and Fiscal Sustainability: Risks and Opportunities

Matthew Agarwala (), Matt Burke, Patrycja Klusak, Kamiar Mohaddes, Ulrich Volz and Dimitri Zenghelis
Additional contact information
Matthew Agarwala: Bennett Institute for Public Policy, University of Cambridge
Matt Burke: Norwich Business School, University of East Anglia, UK
Patrycja Klusak: Norwich Business School, University of East Anglia, UK
Dimitri Zenghelis: Grantham Research Institute, London School of Economics, UK

No 1502, Working Papers from Economic Research Forum

Abstract: Both the physical and transition-related impacts of climate change pose substantial macroeconomic risks. Yet, markets still lack credible estimates of how climate change will affect debt sustainability, sovereign creditworthiness, and the public finances of major economies. We present a taxonomy for tracing the physical and transition impacts of climate change through to impacts on sovereign risk. We then apply the taxonomy to the UK's potential transition to net zero. Meeting internationally agreed climate targets will require an unprecedented structural transformation of the global economy over the next two or three decades. The changing landscape of risks warrants new risk management and hedging strategies to contain climate risk and minimise the impact of asset stranding and asset devaluation. Yet, conditional on action being taken early, the opportunities from managing a net zero transition would substantially outweigh the costs.

Pages: 22
Date: 2021-11-20, Revised 2021-11-20
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-ene and nep-env
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

Published by The Economic Research Forum (ERF)

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Related works:
Journal Article: CLIMATE CHANGE AND FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY: RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES (2021)
Working Paper: Climate Change and Fiscal Sustainability: Risks and Opportunities (2021)
Working Paper: Climate Change and Fiscal Sustainability: Risks and Opportunities (2021)
Working Paper: Climate change and fiscal sustainability: Risks and opportunities (2021)
Working Paper: Climate change and fiscal sustainability: risks and opportunities (2021)
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