Voting after a major flood: Is there a link between democratic experience and retrospective voting?

Michael Neugart and Johannes Rode

Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) from Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL)

Abstract: We explore whether retrospective voting is related to voters' democratic experience. To this end, we compare the voting behavior in West Germany to the voting behavior in the formerly non-democratic East Germany after a disaster relief program addressing a flood in 2013. Our analysis reveals a 2.2 (or 0.9 percentage points) increase in the vote share for the incumbent party in the flooded municipalities in the East compared to the West. Analyzing an earlier flood, variation of democratic experience within East Germany, and a panel survey provides further evidence that less democratically experienced voters are easier prey to pre-election policies.

Date: 2021
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pol and nep-ure
Note: for complete metadata visit http://tubiblio.ulb.tu-darmstadt.de/125114/
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Published in European Economic Review (2021) : pp. 103665

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http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0014292121000180

Related works:
Journal Article: Voting after a major flood: Is there a link between democratic experience and retrospective voting? (2021)
Working Paper: Voting after a major flood: Is there a link between democratic experience and retrospective voting? (2021)
Working Paper: Voting after a Major Flood: Is there a Link between Democratic Experience and Retrospective Voting? (2019)
Working Paper: Voting after a major flood: Is there a link between democratic experience and retrospective voting? (2019)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:dar:wpaper:125114

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