Incentives, search engines, and the elicitation of subjective beliefs: evidence from representative online survey experiments

Elisabeth Grewenig, Philipp Lergetporer, Katharina Werner and Ludger Woessmann

No 7556, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: A large literature studies subjective beliefs about economic facts using unincentivized survey questions. We devise randomized experiments in a representative online survey to investigate whether incentivizing belief accuracy affects stated beliefs about average earnings by professional degree and average public school spending. Incentive provision does not impact earnings beliefs, but improves school-spending beliefs. Response patterns suggest that the latter effect likely reflects increased online-search activity. Consistently, an experiment that just encourages search-engine usage produces very similar results. Another experiment provides no evidence of experimenter-demand effects. Overall, results suggest that incentive provision does not reduce bias in our survey-based belief measures.

Keywords: beliefs; incentives; online search; survey experiment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C83 C90 D83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-exp
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Incentives, search engines, and the elicitation of subjective beliefs: Evidence from representative online survey experiments (2022)
Working Paper: Incentives, Search Engines, and the Elicitation of Subjective Beliefs: Evidence from Representative Online Survey Experiments (2019)
Working Paper: Incentives, Search Engines, and the Elicitation of Subjective Beliefs: Evidence From Representative Online Survey Experiments (2019)
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