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A Critical View of Inflation Targeting: Crises, Limited Sustainability, and Aggregate Shocks

Michael Kumhof

Working Papers from Stanford University, Department of Economics

Abstract: November 2000

This paper presents a critical appraisal of inflation targeting as a monetary policy regime for emerging markets. It is shown that this policy, if understood as a strict commitment to a CPI inflation target, shares many features with exchange rate targeting and is quite different from inflexible exchange rates under money growth rules. Inflation targets are vulnerable to speculative attacks, although less so than exchange rate targets. They perform worse than exchange rate targets when policy sustainability is limited. And their relative performance under exogenous shocks, not surprisingly, depends on the nature and direction of those shocks. Given this lack of an obvious advantage over exchange rate targets, the real attraction of inflation targets may be that they give the policymaker discretion. This, in the context of many emerging markets, has to be a cause for concern. Keywords: intellectual property rights, copyright, sui generis protection of expressive material, economics of information-goods, open science, "fair use," scientific databases.

JEL Classification: H4, K39, O31, O34 -->

Keywords: intellectual property rights; copyright; sui generis protection of expressive material; economics of information-goods; open science (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H4 K39 O31 O34 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2000-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ifn and nep-mon
References: Add references at CitEc
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Related works:
Chapter: A Critical View of Inflation Targeting: Crises, Limited Sustaintability, and Aggregate Shocks (2002) Downloads
Working Paper: A Critical View of Inflation Targeting: Crises, Limited Sustainability, and Aggregate Shocks (2001) Downloads
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