Unemployment dynamics and age

Gerard J. van den Berg, A. Gijsbert C. van Lomwel and Jan C. van Ours
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Gerard J. van den Berg: Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Faculteit der Economische Wetenschappen en Econometrie (Free University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics Sciences, Business Administration and Economitrics

No 48, Serie Research Memoranda from VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics

Abstract: Youth unemployment is an issue of primary concern in Western European countries. In this paper we analyze dynamics in unemployment for youths, adults (prime-aged individuals), and elderly. We use quarterly French unemployment data, stratified by gender, age group, and duration, over the period 1982-1994. We find that the inflow rate of male youths is more sensitive to the business cycle than the inflow rate of adults, but that the outflow of adults is more sensitive than the outflow of youths. Seasonal effects affect youth unemployment mainly by fluctuations in the inflow. The results are used for a policy recommendation.

Keywords: unemployment duration; business cycle; duration dependence; seasonality. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J6 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1998
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:vua:wpaper:1998-48

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