The Cyclical Nature of North-South FDI Flows

Eduardo Levy-Yeyati, Ugo Panizza and Ernesto Stein
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Eduardo Levy Yeyati

Business School Working Papers from Universidad Torcuato Di Tella

Abstract: In this paper, we examine how the business and interest rate cycles in developed countries affects FDI to developing countries. After aggregating flows into three big source areas (the U.S., Europe and Japan), we find FDI flows to be countercyclical with respect to both output and interest rate cycles in the first two, whereas in Japan they display either no cyclical behavior or mild procyclical behavior. This finding is consistent with the fact that FDI outflows and local investment tend to move in opposite directions during the cycles in the U.S. and Europe, reflecting investors’ arbitrage among different investment opportunities. In sum, and contrary to what is usually claimed, we conclude that recessions in industrial countries are likely to increase FDI flows, particularly to those countries with close ties with the U.S. and Europe.

Pages: 38 pages
Date: 2002-12-19
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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http://www.utdt.edu/departamentos/empresarial/cif/pdfs-wp/wpcif-022003.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: The cyclical nature of North-South FDI flows (2007)
Working Paper: The Cyclical Nature of North-South FDI Flows (2003)
Working Paper: The Cyclical Nature of North-South FDI Flows (2003)
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