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A New Test for the Success of Inflation Targeting

Verónica Cohen Sabbán, Martin Gonzalez-Rozada and Andrew Powell

Business School Working Papers from Universidad Torcuato Di Tella

Abstract: We propose a new test, derived from a set of variance decompositions of a structural VAR, for the success of inflation targeting. In contrast to standard sacrifice ratios this test considers changes in the structure of real and nominal shocks; second moment effects. We find strong support for IT with 7 of the 9 countries in our sample having negative “sacrifices” and many countries with “benefits”. However, we also find very different performances across IT countries. We find that “IT success” depends on the size of the real shocks suffered but controlling for this there are differences in country performance.

Pages: 36 pages
Date: 2003
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-lam, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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