Can domestic wheat farming meet the climate change-induced challenges of national food security in Uzbekistan?

Mashkhura Babadjanova, Ihtiyor Bobojonov, Maksud Bekchanov, Lena Kuhn and Thomas Glauben

EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, 2024, vol. 40, issue 3, 448-462

Abstract: This study is the first to develop food supply and demand projections over the 21st century for Uzbekistan by considering the combined effects of climate change and soil salinization. The study results suggest that rising summer temperatures and soil salinity will considerably reduce wheat production. Projections indicate that a large wheat supply–demand gap will emerge in the midterm, particularly under the SSP3-RCP7.0 scenario. For the two more pessimistic scenarios, supply losses of about 24–29% are expected by the end of the century. Supply–demand gaps of up to 2.7 million tons of wheat would pose serious challenges to national food security.

Keywords: climate change impact; food security; irrigated wheat farming; crop yield simulation; soil salinity; Uzbekistan (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/294171/1/B ... ic_wheat_farming.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Can domestic wheat farming meet the climate change-induced challenges of national food security in Uzbekistan? (2024)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:espost:294171

DOI: 10.1080/07900627.2023.2290523

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters from ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics ().