FRBSF Economic Letter

1973 - 2024

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2024, volume 2024, articles 32

Are Water Resources Keeping Up with U.S. Economic Needs? pp. 6

Cheikh Fall, Christian A. Hilgemann and Ishan Nath

2024, volume 2024, articles 31

Productivity During and Since the Pandemic pp. 6

John Fernald, Huiyu Li, Brigid C. Meisenbacher and Aren S. Yalcin

2024, volume 2024, articles 30

How Much Has the Cooling Economy Reduced Inflation? pp. 5

Régis Barnichon and Adam Shapiro

2024, volume 2024, articles 29

Examining the Performance of FOMC Inflation Forecasts pp. 6

Hamza Abdelrahman, Kevin Lansing and Luiz E. Oliveira

2024, volume 2024, articles 28

Landing Softly Is Just the Beginning pp. 6

Mary Daly

Consumer and Firm Perceptions of the Aggregate Labor Market Conditions pp. 20

Marianna Kudlyak and Brandon E. Miskanic

2024, volume 2024, articles 27

International Influences on U.S. Inflation pp. 6

River Bell, Oscar Jorda, Fernanda Nechio, Aditi Poduri and Stephanie Stewart

2024, volume 2024, articles 26

Job Vacancies and Firms’ Labor Market Perceptions pp. 5

Marianna Kudlyak and Brandon E. Miskanic

2024, volume 2024, articles 25

How Aware Is the Public of Labor Market Conditions? pp. 6

Marianna Kudlyak and Brandon E. Miskanic

2024, volume 2024, articles 23

When Is Shelter Services Inflation Coming Down?

Oscar Jorda and Aren S. Yalcin

2024, volume 2024, articles 21

Pandemic-Era Liquid Wealth Is Running Dry pp. 6

Hamza Abdelrahman, Luiz E. Oliveira and Adam Shapiro

2024, volume 2024, articles 20

Bank Franchise as a Stabilizing Force pp. 6

Simon Kwan and Zinnia Martinez

2024, volume 2024, articles 19

Recent Spike in Immigration and Easing Labor Markets pp. 6

Evgeniya A. Duzhak

2024, volume 2024, articles 18

Breakeven Employment Growth pp. 5

Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Stephanie Stewart

2024, volume 2024, articles 17

Getting It Right: Meeting Uncertainty with Conditionality pp. 6

Mary Daly

2024, volume 2024, articles 16

Anatomy of the Post-Pandemic Monetary Tightening Cycle pp. 5

Andrew Foerster and Zinnia Martinez

2024, volume 2024, articles 15

Why Are Overall Profits Outpacing Financing Costs?

Anton E. Bobrov, Carter Davis, Alexandre Sollaci and James Traina

2024, volume 2024, articles 14

Impact of U.S. Labor Productivity Losses from Extreme Heat

Gregory Casey, Stephie Fried and Matthew Gibson

2024, volume 2024, articles 13

What’s Up with Inflation Expectations in Japan? pp. 6

Jens Christensen and Mark Spiegel

2024, volume 2024, articles 12

Are Markups Driving the Ups and Downs of Inflation? pp. 5

Sylvain Leduc, Huiyu Li and Zheng Liu

2024, volume 2024, articles 11

Economic Effects of Tighter Lending by Banks pp. 6

Vasco Cúrdia

2024, volume 2024, articles 10

How Quickly Do Prices Respond to Monetary Policy? pp. 5

Zoë Arnaut-Hull and Leila Bengali

2024, volume 2024, articles 08

To Retire or Keep Working after a Pandemic? pp. 5

Brandon E. Miskanic, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Cindy Zhao

2024, volume 2024, articles 07

Monetary Policy and Financial Conditions pp. 6

Zoë Arnaut-Hull and Michael Bauer

2024, volume 2024, articles 06

The Rise and Fall of Pandemic Excess Wealth pp. 6

Hamza Abdelrahman, Luiz E. Oliveira and Adam Shapiro

2024, volume 2024, articles 04

The Long-Run Fiscal Outlook in the United States pp. 5

Brigid C. Meisenbacher and Daniel Wilson

2024, volume 2024, articles 03

Why Is Prime-Age Labor Force Participation So High? pp. 6

Deepika Baskar Prabhakar and Robert Valletta

2024, volume 2024, articles 02

Does Working from Home Boost Productivity Growth? pp. 6

John Fernald, Ethan Goode, Huiyu Li and Brigid C. Meisenbacher

2024, volume 2024, articles 01

Extreme Weather and Financial Market Uncertainty pp. 5

Augustus Kmetz, Mathias S. Kruttli, Brigitte Roth Tran, Sumudu Watugala and Alan Yan

Price Stability Built to Last pp. 6

Mary Daly

2023, volume 2024, articles 24

The Macroeconomic Impact of Cash Transfers in Brazil pp. 5

Leo Feler, Arthur Mendes, Wataru Miyamoto, Thuy Lan Nguyen and Steven Pennings

2023, volume 2023, articles 32

From Hiring Difficulties to Labor Hoarding? pp. 6

Sylvain Leduc and Luiz E. Oliveira

2023, volume 2023, articles 31

Do Banks Lend to Distressed Firms? pp. 5

Miguel Faria-e-Castro, Pascal Paul and Juan Sanchez

2023, volume 2023, articles 30

What the Moment Demands pp. 6

Mary Daly

2023, volume 2023, articles 28

Global Market Discipline during Recent Policy Tightening

Anton E. Bobrov and Mark Spiegel

2023, volume 2023, articles 27

The Bell Curve of Global CO2 Emission Intensity pp. 6

Zoë Arnaut-Hull, Oscar Jorda and Fernanda Nechio

2023, volume 2023, articles 25

How Much Do Work Interruptions Reduce Mothers’ Wages? pp. 6

Na'ama Shenhav

2023, volume 2023, articles 24

Inflation Expectations, the Phillips Curve, and Stock Prices pp. 6

Kevin Lansing and Federico Calogero Nucera

2023, volume 2023, articles 23

Does Monetary Policy Have Long-Run Effects? pp. 6

Oscar Jorda, Sanjay Singh and Alan Taylor

2023, volume 2023, articles 22

Falling College Wage Premiums by Race and Ethnicity pp. 6

Leila Bengali, Marcus Sander, Robert Valletta and Cindy Zhao

2023, volume 2023, articles 21

The Evolution of Disagreement in the Dot Plot pp. 6

Andrew Foerster

2023, volume 2023, articles 20

How Far Is Labor Force Participation from Its Trend? pp. 5

Andreas Hornstein, Marianna Kudlyak, Brigid C. Meisenbacher and David Ramachandran

2023, volume 2023, articles 19

Where Is Shelter Inflation Headed? pp. 6

Augustus Kmetz, Schuyler Louie and John Mondragon

2023, volume 2023, articles 18

Will a Cooler Labor Market Slow Supercore Inflation? pp. 6

Sylvain Leduc, Daniel Wilson and Cindy Zhao

2023, volume 2023, articles 17

Reducing Inflation along a Nonlinear Phillips Curve pp. 5

Erin E. Crust, Kevin Lansing and Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau

2023, volume 2023, articles 16

Why Immigration Is an Urban Phenomenon pp. 5

Joan Monras

2023, volume 2023, articles 15

How Long Do Rising Temperatures Affect Economic Growth? pp. 6

Gregory Casey, Stephie Fried and Ethan Goode

2023, volume 2023, articles 14

Global Supply Chain Pressures and U.S. Inflation pp. 6

Zheng Liu and Thuy Lan Nguyen

2023, volume 2023, articles 13

How Much Do Labor Costs Drive Inflation? pp. 6

Adam Shapiro

2023, volume 2023, articles 12

The Choice to See pp. 4

Mary Daly

2023, volume 2023, articles 11

The Rise and Fall of Pandemic Excess Savings pp. 6

Hamza Abdelrahman and Luiz E. Oliveira

2023, volume 2023, articles 10

Small Business Lending and the Paycheck Protection Program pp. 6

Jack Mueller and Mark Spiegel

2023, volume 2023, articles 09

House Prices Respond Promptly to Monetary Policy Surprises pp. 5

Denis Gorea, Augustus Kmetz, Oleksiy Kryvtsov, Marianna Kudlyak and Mitchell Ochse

Recent and Near-Term Fiscal Policy: Headwind or Tailwind? pp. 5

Brigid C. Meisenbacher and Daniel Wilson

2023, volume 2023, articles 08

Forward-Looking Policy in a Real-Time World pp. 8

Mary Daly

2023, volume 2023, articles 07

Age Discrimination and Age Stereotypes in Job Ads pp. 5

Ian Burn, Daniel Firoozi, Daniel Ladd and David Neumark

2023, volume 2023, articles 06

The Role of Immigration in U.S. Labor Market Tightness pp. 6

Evgeniya A. Duzhak

Men’s Falling Labor Force Participation across Generations pp. 6

Leila Bengali, Evgeniya A. Duzhak and Cindy Zhao

2023, volume 2023, articles 05

Evaluating Monetary Policy with Inflation Bands and Horizons pp. 6

Troy Davig and Andrew Foerster

2023, volume 2023, articles 04

Can Monetary Policy Tame Rent Inflation? pp. 6

Zheng Liu and Mollie Pepper

2023, volume 2023, articles 02

Supply Chain Disruptions, Trade Costs, and Labor Markets pp. 5

Andres Rodriguez-Clare, Mauricio Ulate and Jose Vasquez

2023, volume 2023, articles 01

Are Inflation Expectations Well Anchored in Mexico? pp. 6

Remy Beauregard, Jens Christensen, Eric Fischer and Simon Zhu