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The Stationary of Productivity Shocks: Evidence from 25 OECD and Big-7 Countries

Aviral Tiwari, Faridul Islam (), Suleyman Bolat, Phouphet Kyophilavong and Byoungki Kim
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Suleyman Bolat: Department of Public Finance, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Aksaray University, Turkey
Byoungki Kim: Faculty of Economics, Graduate School, Shiga University, Japan

International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 2017, vol. 7, issue 1, 613-618

Abstract: We apply the panel covariate augmented Dickey Fuller test to test stationarity of the productivity series for the OECD and Big-7 economies. The approach takes cross-sectional dependence into account. Using hours-worked per worker, we find that the series is non-stationary for the 25 OECD countries; but for the Big-7 the results are mixed. So, this paper achieves a battery of panel unit root tests to examine the stationarity properties of the series named hours worked per employee. The study period covers 1960-2012 for the OECD and the Big-7 countries. The tests we use account for cross-sectional dependence and those that do not account for such dependence. Our results suggest that an analyst might infer that hours worked fall after a positive technology shock, when it may go up in a true data-generating process. The findings also suggest that although in a true data-generating process, the series may go up from a positive technology shock, analysts may infer a fall. The stationarity of the series is relevant in determining the effect of positive technology shock on productivity.

Keywords: Productivity Shock; Panel Unit Root; Cross-sectional Dependence; OECD and Big-7 Countries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C23 J22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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