Die Europäische Agrarpolitik im Spannungsfeld von Osterweiterung und WTO-VerhandlungenChristian H.C.A. Henning, Thomas Glauben and Andreas Wald German Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2001, vol. 50, issue 03, 6 Abstract: The paper presents a political economy analysis of the present and future CAP reform induced under different policy scenarios regarding future EU enlargement and future WTO agreements. Theoretically, the analysis is based on a political exchange model suggested by HENNING (2000). Main results are: (i) Both present and future CAP reforms are significantly biased by the political influence of farmers' lobby. (ii) In quantitative terms an EU enlargement would induce a much stronger shift in the future CAP when compared to increased WTO restrictions. (iii) The timing of the reform is important, given the fact that induced CAP reforms would be supported by a qualified majority within the EU-15, but within the EU-25 these reforms would be defeated by coalition of the new Eastern European member states using their common veto-power. (iv) The majority of political actors within the EU-15 including both politicians and interest groups evaluate induced CAP reforms negatively in comparison to the status quo, while from society’s perspective these imply a positive shift of total economic welfare within EU-15. Keywords: Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade; Political Economy (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:gjagec:98764 Access Statistics for this article More articles in German Journal of Agricultural Economics from Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics Contact information at EDIRC. |
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