Valid Inference on Functions of Causal Effects in the Absence of Microdata

Vedant Vohra

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: Economists are often interested in functions of multiple causal effects, a leading example of which is evaluating the cost-effectiveness of a government policy. In such settings, the benefits and costs might be captured by multiple causal effects and aggregated into a scalar measure of cost-effectiveness. Oftentimes, the microdata underlying these estimates is not accessible; only the published estimates and their corresponding standard errors are available for post-hoc analysis. We provide a method to conduct inference on functions of causal effects when the only information available is the point estimates and their corresponding standard errors. We apply our method to conduct inference on the Marginal Value of Public Funds (MVPF) for 8 different policies, and show that even in the absence of any microdata, it is possible to conduct valid and meaningful inference on the MVPF.

Date: 2024-09
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