Details about Andrey Zubarev

Access statistics for papers by Andrey Zubarev.

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Short-id: pzu44

Working Papers

2022

1. The Future of Global Economic Power
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
   Also in Working Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy (2022) View citations (1)
2. Макроэкономические факторы банкротства компаний обрабатывающей отрасли в Российской Федерации
   (Macroeconomic Factors of Corporate Bankruptcy in the Manufacturing Sector in the Russian Federation)
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
3. Оценивание влияния внешних шоков на российскую экономику с помощью модели GVAR
   (Estimating the impact of external shocks on Russian economy: GVAR approach)
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
4. Факторы риска, прибыльности и вероятности дефолта в российском банковском секторе
   (Determinants of risk, profitability and probability of default for Russian banking sector)
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
5. Эконометрический анализ факторов банкротств российских компаний в обрабатывающем секторе
   (Econometric Analysis of Bankruptcy Factors for Russian Companies in the Manufacturing Industry)
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany

2021

6. DIFFERENTIATION OF BANKING DEFAULTS DUE TO LICENSE CANCELLATION
   (ДИФФЕРЕНЦИАЦИЯ БАНКОВСКИХ ДЕФОЛТОВ ПО ПРИЧИНАМИ ОТЗЫВА ЛИЦЕНЗИИ)
   Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
   Also in Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (2021)
7. ON THE INFLUENCE OF SOME EXTERNAL AND INTERNAL SHOCKS ON RUSSIAN MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
   (О ВЛИЯНИИ НЕКОТОРЫХ ВНЕШНИХ И ВНУТРЕННИХ ШОКОВ НА РОССИЙСКИЕ МАКРОЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ ПОКАЗАТЕЛИ)
   Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
8. Эконометрическая оценка влияния шоков на рынке нефти на макроэкономические показатели Российской Федерации с помощью GVAR моделирования
   (The Impact of Oil Market Shocks on the Macroeconomic Indicators of the Russian Federation: GVAR Approach)
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany

2017

9. Determination of the Factors of Economic Development within the Framework of Sem (Structural Equation Modeling)
   (Определение детерминант экономического развития в рамках подхода моделирования структурных уравнений (SEM – structural equation modeling))
   Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
10. Scenario Analysis of the Impact of Reducing the Export Duty on Oil on the Russian Economy within the Framework of the General Equilibrium Model
    (Сценарный анализ влияния на российскую экономику снижения экспортной пошлины на нефть в рамках модели общего равновесия)
    Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

2016

11. Determination of the Output Gap for the Russian Economy
    (Определение разрыва выпуска для российской экономики)
    Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration View citations (3)
12. Fiscal Policy in Multinational Model of Common Economic Equilibrium
    (Фискальная политика в многострановой модели общего экономического равновесия)
    Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
13. Will the Paris Accord Accelerate Climate Change?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (8)

2015

14. Conditions and Results of the Application of Inflation Targeting
    Published Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
15. SIMULATING RUSSIA’S AND OTHER LARGE ECONOMIES’ CHALLENGING AND INTERCONNECTED TRANSITIONS
    EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics View citations (8)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2015) View citations (10)

2013

16. Russian Banking System: Stability Factors In the Wake of 2008-2009 Crisis
    Working Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
17. The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle: Modern Aspects
    Working Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy View citations (3)

Journal Articles

2023

1. Building a GVAR Model for the Russian Economy
   HSE Economic Journal, 2023, 27, (1), 9–32
2. Determinants of risk, profitability and default probability of Russian banks
   Applied Econometrics, 2023, 71, 20-38

2022

3. Bank Default's Factors Differentiation Based on License Withdrawal Reasons
   HSE Economic Journal, 2022, 26, (1), 69–103 View citations (1)
4. Estimation of the Impact of Global Shocks on the Russian Economy and GDP Nowcasting Using a Factor Model
   Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 2022, 81, (2), 49-78 View citations (1)
5. Factors Leading to Default by Russian Manufacturing Companies
   (Выявление факторов дефолтов компаний обрабатывающей промышленности)
   Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, 2022, 5, 104 - 145
6. The impact of global shocks on the Russian economy: FAVAR approach
   Journal of the New Economic Association, 2022, 56, (4), 48-68 View citations (2)

2021

7. Forecasting Aggregate Retail Sales with Google Trends
   Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 2021, 80, (4), 50-73 View citations (1)
8. GDP Nowcasting: Dynamic Factor Model vs. Official Forecasts
   (Наукастинг ВВП: динамическая факторная модель и официальные прогнозы)
   Russian Economic Development, 2021, (12), 34-40 View citations (2)
9. Profitability and Efficiency of Russian Banks after Global Crisis
   (Прибыльность и эффективность российских банков после глобального кризиса)
   Russian Economic Development, 2021, (11), 66-75
10. Наукастинг ВВП: динамическая факторная модель и официальные прогнозы
    Russian Economic Development (in Russian), 2021, (12), 34-40
11. Прибыльность и эффективность российских банков после глобального кризиса
    Russian Economic Development (in Russian), 2021, (11), 66-75

2020

12. Capital mobility in commodity-exporting economies
    Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2020, 24, (5), 10 View citations (1)
13. Elastic properties of ferrogels with chain-like structures
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2020, 545, (C)
14. How the oil price and other factors of real exchange rate dynamics affect real GDP in Russia
    Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2020, 56, (15), 3732-3745 View citations (7)
15. The Impact of Risk Premium on Russian Macroeconomic Indicators
    HSE Economic Journal, 2020, 24, (3), 391–414 View citations (1)

2019

16. Assessing the Consequences of the Pension Reform in Russia in a Global CGE-OLG Model
    HSE Economic Journal, 2019, 23, (3), 384-417 View citations (1)

2018

17. How Commodity Prices Influence the Members of the Eurasian Economic Union
    Economy of region, 2018, 1, (2), 623 - 637 View citations (1)
18. On the theory of hysteretic magnetostriction of soft ferrogels
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2018, 498, (C), 86-95 View citations (1)

2016

19. Estimation of Macroeconomic Effects from the Decline in Oil Export Duty
    (Оценка макроэкономических эффектов от снижения экспортной пошлины на нефть)
    Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, 2016, 6, 8-35

2015

20. Group Performance and Success of Project Bids within the Framework of the «Federal Target Program for Research and Development in Priority Areas of Development of the Russian Scientific and Technological Complex for 2014–2020
    Science Governance and Scientometrics Journal, 2015, 10, (2), 24-41

2014

21. Влияние реального обменного курса рубля на экономическую активность в России
    Studies on Russian Economic Development Проблемы прогнозирования, 2014, (2 (143)), 92-102

2013

22. The Feldstein-Horioka paradox: modern aspects
    Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, 2013, 54—73 View citations (2)
23. The Impact of the Real Ruble Exchange Rate on the Economic Activity in Russia
    Research Paper Series, 2013, (165P), 164 pages View citations (4)

2012

24. The Factors of Stability of Russian Banks during the Crisis of 2008—2009
    Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, 2012, 126—142 View citations (2)

2011

25. Sustainability of Russian Banks in 2007-2009
    Research Paper Series, 2011, (155P) View citations (1)