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Details about Edoardo Otranto

Homepage:https://sites.google.com/site/edoardootranto/home
Workplace:Centro Ricerche Nord Sud (CRENoS) (Centre for North South Economic Research), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Edoardo Otranto.

Last updated 2023-07-07. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pot5


Jump to Journal Articles Chapters

Working Papers

2023

  1. On the relationship between Markov Switching inference and Fuzzy Clustering: A Monte Carlo evidence
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads
  2. Volatility jumps and the classification of monetary policy announcements
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads
    Also in Papers, arXiv.org (2023) Downloads

2022

  1. Modeling Realized Covariance Matrices: A Class of Hadamard Exponential Models
    LIDAM Reprints CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) View citations (3)
    Also in Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia (2020) Downloads
    LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) (2020) Downloads
  2. Smooth and Abrupt Dynamics in Financial Volatility: the MS-MEM-MIDAS
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads

2021

  1. On Classifying the Effects of Policy Announcements on Volatility
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia (2020) Downloads
  2. Unconventional Policies Effects on Stock Market Volatility: A MAP Approach
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Unconventional policies effects on stock market volatility: The MAP approach, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society (2022) Downloads (2022)

2020

  1. Measuring the Effects of Unconventional Policies on Stock Market Volatility
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Nonlinearities and regimes in conditional correlations with different dynamics
    LIDAM Reprints CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) View citations (4)
    Also in LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) (2018) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Nonlinearities and regimes in conditional correlations with different dynamics, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2020) Downloads View citations (4) (2020)

2019

  1. Realized Volatility Forecasting: Robustness to Measurement Errors
    Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti" Downloads
    See also Journal Article Realized volatility forecasting: Robustness to measurement errors, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2021) Downloads View citations (17) (2021)

2018

  1. Reducing Bias in a Matching Estimation of Endogenous Treatment Effect
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads

2017

  1. Clustering Space-Time Series: A Flexible STAR Approach
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads
  2. Combining Sharp and Smooth Transitions in Volatility Dynamics: a Fuzzy Regime Approach
    Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti" Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Combining sharp and smooth transitions in volatility dynamics: a fuzzy regime approach, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society (2018) Downloads View citations (8) (2018)

2016

  1. A Flexible Specification of Space–Time AutoRegressive Models
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads
  2. Combining Markov Switching and Smooth Transition in Modeling Volatility: A Fuzzy Regime MEM
    Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti" Downloads
  3. Modeling the dependence of conditional correlations on market volatility
    LIDAM Reprints CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article Modeling the Dependence of Conditional Correlations on Market Volatility, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2016) Downloads View citations (21) (2016)

2015

  1. Adding Flexibility to Markov Switching Models
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Analisi degli effetti del residuo fiscale
    Post-Print, HAL
  3. Il residuo fiscale nelle regioni italiane
    Post-Print, HAL

2014

  1. Forecasting Realized Volatility with Changes of Regimes
    Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti" Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Spatial Effects in Dynamic Conditional Correlations
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads
    See also Journal Article Spatial effects in dynamic conditional correlations, Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2016) Downloads View citations (4) (2016)

2013

  1. Financial Clustering in Presence of Dominant Markets
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads
    See also Journal Article Financial clustering in presence of dominant markets, Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer (2015) Downloads View citations (3) (2015)
  2. Modeling the Dependence of Conditional Correlations on Volatility
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads View citations (13)
    Also in LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) (2013) Downloads View citations (13)

2012

  1. Cycles in Crime and Economy: Leading, Lagging and Coincident Behaviors
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (5)
    Also in Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia (2010) Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Model effect on projected mortality indicators
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads
  3. Realized Volatility and Change of Regimes
    Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti" Downloads View citations (3)
  4. Spillover Effects in the Volatility of Financial Markets
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads
  5. The Markov Switching Asymmetric Multiplicative Error Model
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads View citations (2)
  6. Volatility Spillover, Interdependence, Comovements across GCC, Oil and U.S. Markets and Portfolio Management Strategies in a Regime-Changing Environment
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads View citations (6)
  7. Volatility Swings in the US Financial Markets
    Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti" Downloads View citations (2)
  8. Volatility Transmission across Currency, Commodity and Equity Markets under Multi-Chain Regime Switching: Implications for Hedging and Portfolio Allocation
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads View citations (9)

2011

  1. Classification of Volatility in Presence of Changes in Model Parameters
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Cycles in Crime and Economy Revised
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads View citations (2)

2010

  1. A Time Varying Parameter Approach to Analyze the Macroeconomic Consequences of Crime
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Does Crime Affect Economic Growth?
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (66)
    See also Journal Article Does Crime Affect Economic Growth?, Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell (2010) Downloads View citations (75) (2010)

2009

  1. Improving the Forecasting of Dynamic Conditional Correlation: a Volatility Dependent Approach
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads
  2. Misura dell’effetto criminalità sull’economia italiana
    Post-Print, HAL

2008

  1. A Realistic Model for Official Interest Rates
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads
  2. Asset Allocation Using Flexible Dynamic Correlation Models with Regime Switching
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads
    See also Journal Article Asset allocation using flexible dynamic correlation models with regime switching, Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals (2010) Downloads View citations (10) (2010)
  3. Clustering Heteroskedastic Time Series by Model-Based Procedures
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads View citations (34)
    See also Journal Article Clustering heteroskedastic time series by model-based procedures, Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier (2008) Downloads View citations (36) (2008)
  4. Clustering Mutual Funds by Return and Risk Levels
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads View citations (3)
  5. Identifying Financial Time Series with Similar Dynamic Conditional Correlation
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads
    See also Journal Article Identifying financial time series with similar dynamic conditional correlation, Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier (2010) Downloads View citations (24) (2010)
  6. Recognizing and Forecasting the Sign of Financial Local Trends using Hidden Markov Models
    Working Paper CRENoS, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia Downloads View citations (2)

2007

  1. Volatility Spillovers, Interdependence and Comovements: A Markov Switching Approach
    Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti" Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Volatility spillovers, interdependence and comovements: A Markov Switching approach, Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier (2008) Downloads View citations (90) (2008)

2006

  1. Modelling the discrete and infrequent official interest rate change in the UK
    DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Volatility Transmission Across Markets: A Multi-Chain Markov Switching Model
    Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti" Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Volatility transmission across markets: a Multichain Markov Switching model, Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2007) Downloads View citations (32) (2007)

2005

  1. Extraction of Common Signal from Series with Different Frequency
    Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
  2. Indirect estimation of Markov switching models with endogenous switching
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
  3. Volatility Transmission in Financial Markets: A New Approach
    Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti" Downloads View citations (1)

2004

  1. Classifying the Markets Volatility with ARMA Distance Measures
    Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (5)
  2. Dating the Italian BUsiness Cycle: A Comparison of Procedures
    ISAE Working Papers, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY) Downloads View citations (11)
    Also in Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany (2003) Downloads View citations (11)
  3. The Choice of Time Interval in Seasonal Adjustment: A Heuristic Approach
    Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article The choice of time interval in seasonal adjustment: A heuristic approach, Statistical Papers, Springer (2006) Downloads (2006)

2003

  1. Signal Extraction in Continuous Time and the Generalized Hodrick- Prescott Filter
    Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (1)
  2. the Multi-State Markov Switching Model
    Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

2001

  1. A Nonparametric Bayesian Approach to Detect the Number of Regimes in Markov Switching Models
    Econometrics Working Papers Archive, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti" Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article A NONPARAMETRIC BAYESIAN APPROACH TO DETECT THE NUMBER OF REGIMES IN MARKOV SWITCHING MODELS, Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals (2002) Downloads View citations (26) (2002)
  2. The Choice of Time Interval in Seasonal Adjustment: Characterization and Tools
    ISAE Working Papers, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY) Downloads View citations (1)

Journal Articles

2022

  1. Unconventional policies effects on stock market volatility: The MAP approach
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, 2022, 71, (5), 1245-1265 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Unconventional Policies Effects on Stock Market Volatility: A MAP Approach, Papers (2021) Downloads View citations (1) (2021)

2021

  1. Do Different Models Induce Changes in Mortality Indicators? That Is a Key Question for Extending the Lee-Carter Model
    IJERPH, 2021, 18, (4), 1-16 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Do the Determinants of Non-Performing Loans Have a Different Effect over Time? A Conditional Correlation Approach
    JRFM, 2021, 14, (1), 1-15 Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Realized volatility forecasting: Robustness to measurement errors
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2021, 37, (1), 44-57 Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper Realized Volatility Forecasting: Robustness to Measurement Errors, Econometrics Working Papers Archive (2019) Downloads (2019)

2020

  1. Forecasting the macro determinants of bank credit quality: a non-linear perspective
    Journal of Risk Finance, 2020, 21, (4), 423-443 Downloads View citations (7)
  2. Nonlinearities and regimes in conditional correlations with different dynamics
    Journal of Econometrics, 2020, 217, (2), 496-522 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Nonlinearities and regimes in conditional correlations with different dynamics, LIDAM Reprints CORE (2020) View citations (4) (2020)

2019

  1. Clustering space-time series: FSTAR as a flexible STAR approach
    Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, 2019, 13, (1), 175-199 Downloads

2018

  1. Combining sharp and smooth transitions in volatility dynamics: a fuzzy regime approach
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, 2018, 67, (3), 549-573 Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper Combining Sharp and Smooth Transitions in Volatility Dynamics: a Fuzzy Regime Approach, Econometrics Working Papers Archive (2017) Downloads View citations (1) (2017)

2016

  1. Modeling the Dependence of Conditional Correlations on Market Volatility
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2016, 34, (2), 254-268 Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper Modeling the dependence of conditional correlations on market volatility, LIDAM Reprints CORE (2016) View citations (21) (2016)
  2. Spatial effects in dynamic conditional correlations
    Journal of Applied Statistics, 2016, 43, (4), 604-626 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Spatial Effects in Dynamic Conditional Correlations, Working Paper CRENoS (2014) Downloads (2014)
  3. Volatility transmission across currencies and commodities with US uncertainty measures
    The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2016, 37, (C), 63-83 Downloads View citations (16)

2015

  1. Capturing the Spillover Effect With Multiplicative Error Models
    Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 2015, 44, (15), 3173-3191 Downloads View citations (10)
  2. Financial clustering in presence of dominant markets
    Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, 2015, 9, (3), 315-339 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Financial Clustering in Presence of Dominant Markets, Working Paper CRENoS (2013) Downloads (2013)
  3. Forecasting realized volatility with changing average levels
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2015, 31, (3), 620-634 Downloads View citations (38)

2014

  1. Extracting portfolio management strategies from volatility transmission models in regime-changing environments: Evidence from GCC and global markets
    Economic Modelling, 2014, 41, (C), 365-374 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Patterns of volatility transmissions within regime switching across GCC and global markets
    International Review of Economics & Finance, 2014, 29, (C), 512-524 Downloads View citations (29)

2013

  1. Volatility clustering in the presence of time-varying model parameters
    Journal of Applied Statistics, 2013, 40, (4), 901-915 Downloads

2011

  1. A realistic model for official interest rate movements and their consequences
    Applied Economics, 2011, 43, (29), 4431-4447 Downloads View citations (2)

2010

  1. Asset allocation using flexible dynamic correlation models with regime switching
    Quantitative Finance, 2010, 10, (3), 325-338 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper Asset Allocation Using Flexible Dynamic Correlation Models with Regime Switching, Working Paper CRENoS (2008) Downloads (2008)
  2. Does Crime Affect Economic Growth?
    Kyklos, 2010, 63, (3), 330-345 Downloads View citations (75)
    See also Working Paper Does Crime Affect Economic Growth?, Post-Print (2010) View citations (66) (2010)
  3. Identifying financial time series with similar dynamic conditional correlation
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2010, 54, (1), 1-15 Downloads View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper Identifying Financial Time Series with Similar Dynamic Conditional Correlation, Working Paper CRENoS (2008) Downloads (2008)

2008

  1. Clustering heteroskedastic time series by model-based procedures
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2008, 52, (10), 4685-4698 Downloads View citations (36)
    See also Working Paper Clustering Heteroskedastic Time Series by Model-Based Procedures, Working Paper CRENoS (2008) Downloads View citations (34) (2008)
  2. Models to date the business cycle: The Italian case
    Economic Modelling, 2008, 25, (5), 899-911 Downloads View citations (6)
  3. Volatility spillovers, interdependence and comovements: A Markov Switching approach
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2008, 52, (6), 3011-3026 Downloads View citations (90)
    See also Working Paper Volatility Spillovers, Interdependence and Comovements: A Markov Switching Approach, Econometrics Working Papers Archive (2007) Downloads View citations (1) (2007)

2007

  1. Volatility transmission across markets: a Multichain Markov Switching model
    Applied Financial Economics, 2007, 17, (8), 659-670 Downloads View citations (32)
    See also Working Paper Volatility Transmission Across Markets: A Multi-Chain Markov Switching Model, Econometrics Working Papers Archive (2006) Downloads View citations (6) (2006)

2006

  1. Extracting a Common Cycle from Series with Different Frequency: An Application to the Italian Economy
    Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2006, 2005, (3), 407-429 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Frontiers in Time Series Analysis: Introduction
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2006, 68, (s1), 679-682 Downloads
  3. The choice of time interval in seasonal adjustment: A heuristic approach
    Statistical Papers, 2006, 47, (3), 393-417 Downloads
    See also Working Paper The Choice of Time Interval in Seasonal Adjustment: A Heuristic Approach, Econometrics (2004) Downloads View citations (1) (2004)

2005

  1. The multi-chain Markov switching model
    Journal of Forecasting, 2005, 24, (7), 523-537 Downloads View citations (30)

2002

  1. A NONPARAMETRIC BAYESIAN APPROACH TO DETECT THE NUMBER OF REGIMES IN MARKOV SWITCHING MODELS
    Econometric Reviews, 2002, 21, (4), 477-496 Downloads View citations (26)
    See also Working Paper A Nonparametric Bayesian Approach to Detect the Number of Regimes in Markov Switching Models, Econometrics Working Papers Archive (2001) Downloads View citations (8) (2001)

Chapters

2008

  1. Classifying Italian Pension Funds via GARCH Distance
    Springer View citations (2)
 
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