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Decision Analysis, Volume 13

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Volume 13, Number 1, March 2016

Research Articles

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David M. Blum, Marie-Elisabeth Paté-Cornell:
Probabilistic Warnings in National Security Crises: Pearl Harbor Revisited. 1-25
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Johannes Ulrich Siebert, Detlof von Winterfeldt, Richard S. John:
Identifying and Structuring the Objectives of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and Its Followers. 26-50
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Venkata R. Prava, Robert T. Clemen, Benjamin F. Hobbs, Melissa A. Kenney:
Partition Dependence and Carryover Biases in Subjective Probability Assessment Surveys for Continuous Variables: Model-Based Estimation and Correction. 51-67
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Juan Sebastian Borrero, Oleg A. Prokopyev, Denis Sauré:
Sequential Shortest Path Interdiction with Incomplete Information. 68-98

Volume 13, Number 2, June 2016

Research Articles

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Samuel E. Bodily:
Reducing Risk and Improving Incentives in Funding Entrepreneurs. 101-116
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Candice H. Huynh, Jay R. Simon:
Using Means Objectives to Present Risk Information. 117-127
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Eva Chen, David V. Budescu, Shrinidhi K. Lakshmikanth, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock:
Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses. 128-152
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Tobias von Rechenberg, Dominik Gutt, Dennis Kundisch:
Goals as Reference Points: Empirical Evidence from a Virtual Reward System. 153-171

Volume 13, Number 3, September 2016

Research Articles

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Samuel E. Bodily, Bryan Furman:
Long-Term Care Insurance Decisions. 173-191
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Kerim Keskin:
Equilibrium Notions for Agents with Cumulative Prospect Theory Preferences. 192-208
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Babatunde Buraimo, David Peel, Rob Simmons:
On the Positive Expected Utility of Combination Wagers. 209-212
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Ralph L. Keeney:
Remembering Howard Raiffa. 213-218
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David Bell:
The Legacy of Howard Raiffa. 219-220

Volume 13, Number 4, December 2016

Research Articles

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Arthur Carvalho:
An Overview of Applications of Proper Scoring Rules. 223-242
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Thomas W. Keelin:
The Metalog Distributions. 243-277
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Johannes Ulrich Siebert:
Can Novices Create Alternatives of the Same Quality as Experts? 278-291

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