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The Innocent Greenbacks Abroad: U.S. Currency Held Internationally,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2022)
Keywords: United States currency
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Measuring Inflation: Headline, Core and “Supercore” Services,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2024)
Keywords: Consumer Price Index (CPI); Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI); inflation; prices
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More Irrational Exuberance? A Look at Stock Prices,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2021)
Keywords: equities; stock prices; earnings growth; Gordon growth
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What Is the Probability of a Recession? The Message from Yield Spreads,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2023)
Keywords: yield spreads; recessions; real interest rates; nominal interest rates
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What Happens to Expected Stock Volatility around Election Day?,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2024)
Keywords: asset price volatility; stock market; stock market volatility; presidential elections
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Inflation and the Real Value of Debt: A Double-edged Sword,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2022)
Keywords: inflation; real value of debt
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A Look at the Fed’s Emergency Lending Programs,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2020)
Keywords: Federal Reserve; liquidity; emergency lending; treasury; COVID-19; coronavirus
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The Costless Disinflation of 2022-24,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2024)
Keywords: disinflation; unemployment
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Target zones and conditional volatility: The role of realignments,
Christopher Neely, in Journal of Empirical Finance (1999) Downloads

Overshooting the Inflation Target,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2021)
Keywords: COVID-19; inflation; personal consumption expenditures (PCE); consumer price index; monetary policy
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Why Have a Strategic Petroleum Reserve?,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2024)
Keywords: Strategic Petroleum Reserve; oil
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The mysterious Greek yield curve,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2012)
Keywords: Greece; Bonds; Government securities
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Political pressure on the bank of Japan: interference or accountability?,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2013)
Keywords: Banks and banking, Central - Japan; Bank of Japan
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The People’s Bank of China Boosts the Yuan,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2017) Downloads

Why Are U.S. Bond Yields So High?,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2018) Downloads

Lessons from the taper tantrum,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2014) Downloads

The Rise and Fall of M2,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2023)
Keywords: M2
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Modeling Professional Recession Forecasts,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2023)
Keywords: recessions; recession forecasts; economic forecasts; professional forecasts
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U.S. historical experience with deflation,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2010)
Keywords: Deflation (Finance)
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Fiscal policy and expected inflation,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2011)
Keywords: Fiscal policy; Inflation (Finance)
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Would it help to eliminate interest on reserves?,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2013)
Keywords: Banks and banking, Central; Interest rates
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The Russian Invasion, Oil and Gasoline Prices, and Recession,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2022)
Keywords: Russian invasion of Ukraine; commodity prices; oil prices; gasoline prices; Russia; Ukraine
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Financial Engineering Versus Cancer,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2015)
Keywords: Cancer; Medical research risk
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How Much Do Oil Prices Affect Inflation?,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2015) Downloads

\\"How central should the central bank be?\\" a comment,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2010) Downloads

The FDIC Studies “Options for Deposit Insurance Reform”,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2023)
Keywords: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC); deposit insurance; bank runs
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Negative U.S. Interest Rates?,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2020) Downloads

The great foreign exchange intervention of 2011,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2011)
Keywords: Yen, Japanese; Foreign exchange
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What to Expect from Quantitative Tightening,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2019) Downloads

Chinese Foreign Exchange Reserves and the U.S. Economy,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2016) Downloads

Okun's law: output and unemployment,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2010)
Keywords: Unemployment
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The Asset Holdings of the Bank of Japan,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2019) Downloads

The difference between currency manipulation and monetary policy,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2011)
Keywords: Foreign exchange; International economic relations
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International Inflation Trends,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2021)
Keywords: COVID-19; inflation; stimulus; fiscal; monetary
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Comparing international bond yields,
Christopher Neely, in Economic Synopses (2014) Downloads

One dollar = one loonie,
Christopher Neely, in International Economic Trends (2007)
Keywords: Dollar, American; Dollar, Canadian
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Markets worry more about sovereign debt,
Christopher Neely, in International Economic Trends (2009)
Keywords: Debt; Financial crises
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The sovereign wealth funds of nations,
Christopher Neely, in International Economic Trends (2008)
Keywords: Finance, Public; International finance
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Options on economic data,
Christopher Neely, in International Economic Trends (2002)
Keywords: options; Economic forecasting
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An E.U. withholding tax?,
Christopher Neely, in International Economic Trends (1999)
Keywords: Taxation; European Union
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Global factors in budget deficits,
Christopher Neely, in International Economic Trends (2003)
Keywords: Budget deficits; Fiscal policy
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International interest rate linkages,
Christopher Neely, in International Economic Trends (2001)
Keywords: Interest rates
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How big is Japan's debt?,
Christopher Neely, in International Economic Trends (1999)
Keywords: Economic conditions - Japan
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Unwinding the current account deficit,
Christopher Neely, in International Economic Trends (2005)
Keywords: Deficit financing
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September 11, 2001,
Christopher Neely, in Monetary Trends (2001)
Keywords: Monetary policy
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What is the slope of the yield curve telling us?,
Christopher Neely, in Monetary Trends (2000)
Keywords: Forecasting
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Stock prices and consumption,
Christopher Neely, in Monetary Trends (2000)
Keywords: Stock - Prices
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How expensive are stocks?,
Christopher Neely, in Monetary Trends (2002)
Keywords: Stock - Prices
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Bond market mania,
Christopher Neely, in Monetary Trends (2003)
Keywords: bond markets
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China's strategic petroleum reserve: a drop in the bucket,
Christopher Neely, in National Economic Trends (2007)
Keywords: China; Strategic Petroleum Reserve; Petroleum industry and trade
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The temporal pattern of trading rule returns and exchange rate intervention: intervention does not generate technical trading profits,
Christopher Neely, in Journal of International Economics (2002) Downloads

Forecasting foreign exchange volatility: Why is implied volatility biased and inefficient? And does it matter?,
Christopher Neely, in Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money (2009)
Keywords: Exchange rate Option Implied volatility GARCH High-frequency
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Unconventional monetary policy had large international effects,
Christopher Neely, in Journal of Banking & Finance (2015)
Keywords: Large scale asset purchase; Quantitative easing; Event study; Monetary policy; Zero bound;
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Central bank authorities' beliefs about foreign exchange intervention,
Christopher Neely, in Journal of International Money and Finance (2008) Downloads

How persistent are unconventional monetary policy effects?,
Christopher Neely, in Journal of International Money and Finance (2022)
Keywords: Federal Reserve; Monetary policy; Quantitative easing; Large-scale asset purchase; VAR; Forecasting; Structural breaks; Good deal;
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Risk-adjusted, ex ante, optimal technical trading rules in equity markets,
Christopher Neely, in International Review of Economics & Finance (2003) Downloads

How Do Economists Think about the Environment and Climate Change?,
Christopher Neely, in The Regional Economist (2022)
Keywords: climate change; Environmental policy; pollution; externalities
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Miscommunication shook up mortgage, bond markets,
Christopher Neely, in The Regional Economist (2004)
Keywords: bond markets; Mortgages
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Why Price Controls Should Stay in the History Books,
Christopher Neely, in The Regional Economist (2022)
Keywords: price controls; inflation; COVID-19
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The Fed responds to Sept. 11 attacks,
Christopher Neely, in The Regional Economist (2002)
Keywords: Monetary policy; Federal Reserve System; Payment systems
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Using implied volatility to measure uncertainty about interest rates,
Christopher Neely, in Review (2005)
Keywords: Interest rates; Monetary policy; Prices
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Chinese Foreign Exchange Reserves, Policy Choices, and the U.S. Economy,
Christopher Neely, in Review (2017) Downloads

Financial Market Reactions to the Russian Invasion of Ukraine,
Christopher Neely, in Review (2022)
Keywords: financial markets; Russia; Ukraine; Russian invasion of Ukraine
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An introduction to capital controls,
Christopher Neely, in Review (1999)
Keywords: Capital movements
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An analysis of recent studies of the effect of foreign exchange intervention,
Christopher Neely, in Review (2005)
Keywords: Foreign exchange; time series analysis
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Technical analysis and the profitability of U.S. foreign exchange intervention,
Christopher Neely, in Review (1998)
Keywords: Foreign exchange - Law and legislation
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Realignment of target zone exchange rate systems: what do we know?,
Christopher Neely, in Review (1994)
Keywords: Foreign exchange rates
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A survey of announcement effects on foreign exchange volatility and jumps,
Christopher Neely, in Review (2011)
Keywords: Foreign exchange
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The practice of central bank intervention: looking under the hood,
Christopher Neely, in Review (2001)
Keywords: Foreign exchange; Banks and banking, Central
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The Federal Reserve responds to crises: September 11th was not the first,
Christopher Neely, in Review (2004)
Keywords: Money supply; Monetary policy
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Technical analysis in the foreign exchange market: a layman's guide,
Christopher Neely, in Review (1997)
Keywords: Foreign exchange
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Are changes in foreign exchange reserves well correlated with official intervention?,
Christopher Neely, in Review (2000)
Keywords: Foreign exchange - Law and legislation; Switzerland; Germany; Bank reserves
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A foreign exchange intervention in an era of restraint,
Christopher Neely, in Review (2011)
Keywords: Yen, Japanese; Foreign exchange rates
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The giant sucking sound: did NAFTA devour the Mexican peso?,
Christopher Neely, in Review (1996)
Keywords: Devaluation of currency; Peso, Mexican; North American Free Trade Agreement; Capital movements; Mexico
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Realignments of target zone exchange systems: what do we know?,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (1994)
Keywords: Foreign exchange rates
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Implied volatility from options on gold futures: do statistical forecasts add value or simply paint the lilly?,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2004)
Keywords: Gold; Futures; Forecasting
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Testing asset pricing models with Euler equations: it's worse than you think,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (1995)
Keywords: Prices; Statistics
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How Persistent Are Unconventional Monetary Policy Effects?,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2022)
Keywords: Federal Reserve; monetary policy; quantitative easing; large-scale asset purchases; VAR; forecasting; structural breaks; good deal
Downloads

The practice of central bank intervention: looking under the hood,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2000)
Keywords: Banks and banking, Central; Foreign exchange; Monetary policy
Downloads

Forecasting foreign exchange volatility: why is implied volatility biased and inefficient? and does it matter?,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2004)
Keywords: Forecasting; Foreign exchange rates
Downloads

Identifying the effects of U.S. intervention on the levels of exchange rates,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2006)
Keywords: Foreign exchange; Banks and banking, Central
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Financial market reactions to the Russian invasion of Ukraine,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2022)
Keywords: Russia; Ukraine; commodity price; War; oil; capital controls; exchange controls; sanctions; Exchange rate; equity
Downloads

The large scale asset purchases had large international effects,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2010)
Keywords: Monetary policy; Interest rates
Downloads

Central bank authorities’ beliefs about foreign exchange intervention,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2007)
Keywords: Foreign exchange; Banks and banking, Central
Downloads

The economic effects of a potential armed conflict over Taiwan,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2024)
Keywords: war; Taiwan; foreign exchange reserves; asset prices; flight-to-safety; international trade; sanctions
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Target zones and conditional volatility: the role of realignments,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (1998)
Keywords: Foreign exchange rates; European Monetary System (Organization)
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A reconsideration of the properties of the generalized method moments in asset pricing models,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (1994)
Keywords: Prices; Statistics
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The temporal pattern of trading rule returns and central bank intervention: intervention does not generate technical trading rule profits,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2002)
Keywords: Banks and banking, Central; Foreign exchange; Trade
Downloads

The Federal Reserve responds to crises: September 11th was not the first,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2003)
Keywords: Money supply; Monetary policy
Downloads

Risk-adjusted, ex ante, optimal technical trading rules in equity markets,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2001)
Keywords: Trade; Stock - Prices; Econometric models
Downloads

An analysis of recent studies of the effect of foreign exchange intervention,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2005)
Keywords: Foreign exchange; time series analysis
Downloads

Chinese Foreign Exchange Reserves, Policy Choices and the U.S. Economy,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2017)
Keywords: Monetary policy; central banks and their policies; foreign exchange; current account
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The case for foreign exchange intervention: the government as an active reserve manager,
Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2005)
Keywords: Foreign exchange
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Registered author: Christopher Neely

Interest Rate Risk, Bank Runs and Silicon Valley Bank,
Christopher Neely and Michelle Neely, in The Regional Economist (2023)
Keywords: bank runs; bank solvency
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A BENEFIT‐COST ANALYSIS OF DISINFLATION,
Christopher Neely and Christopher Waller, in Contemporary Economic Policy (1997) Downloads

Reviewing the Impact of Energy Sanctions on Russia,
Jason Dunn and Christopher Neely, from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2023)
Keywords: Russia; oil and gas; exports; Russian invasion of Ukraine
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An Analysis of the Literature on International Unconventional Monetary Policy,
Saroj Bhattarai and Christopher Neely, in Journal of Economic Literature (2022) Downloads

Predictability in International Asset Returns: A Reexamination,
Christopher Neely and Paul Weller, in Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis (2000) Downloads

Investigating the intertemporal risk-return relation in international stock markets with the component GARCH model,
Hui Guo and Christopher Neely, in Economics Letters (2008) Downloads

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