Business Cycle Synchronization During US Recessions Since the Beginning of the 1870's

Department of Economics Working Papers from Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics

Abstract: This paper examines the synchronization of business cycles across the G7 countries during US recessions since the 1870's. Using a dynamic measure of business cycle synchronization, results depend on the globalisation period under consideration. On average, US recessions have significantly positive effects on business cycle co-movements only in the period following the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates, while strongly decoupling effects among the G7 economies are documented during recessions that occurred under the classical Gold Standard. During the 2007-2009 recession, business cycles co-movements increased to unprecedented levels.

Keywords: Dynamic conditional correlation; Business cycle synchronization; Recession; Globalisation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E3 E32 F4 F41 N10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-his, nep-mac and nep-opm
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Journal Article: Business cycle synchronization during US recessions since the beginning of the 1870s (2012)
Working Paper: Business cycle synchronization during US recessions since the beginning of the 1870's (2012)
Working Paper: Business Cycle Synchronization During US Recessions Since the Beginning of the 1870's (2012)
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