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The causal relationship between financial development and investment in Botswana

Brian Muyambiri and Nicholas Odhiambo

No 22607, Working Papers from University of South Africa, Department of Economics

Abstract: In this paper, we examine the causal relationship between financial development and investment in Botswana between 1976 and 2014, using the autoregressive distributed-lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. Unlike some previous studies, our study divides financial sector development into two segments, namely bank-based and market-based financial development. We also employ a trivariate Granger-causality model in order to address the omission-of-variable bias associated with a bivariate causality model. In order to capture the breadth and depth of the financial sector in the study country, we employ both bank- and market-based financial development indices. These indices are constructed from an array of bank- and market-based financial development indicators. Our results show that there is a bidirectional Granger-causal relationship between both bank-based and market-based financial development and investment in the short run. However, in the long run, a distinct causal flow is found to prevail only from investment to bank-based financial development.

Keywords: Botswana; Investment; Bank-Based Financial Development; Market-Based Financial Development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fdg
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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