Transmission of monetary policy and exchange rate shocks under foreign currency lending

Malgorzata Skibinska
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Małgorzata Walerych

No 2017-027, KAE Working Papers from Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis

Abstract: This paper analyses the di erences in reaction of domestic and foreign currency lending to monetary and exchange rate shocks, using a panel VAR model estimated for three biggest Central and Eastern European countries (Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary). Our results point toward a drop in domestic currency loans and an increase of foreign currency credit in reaction to monetary policy tightening in Poland and Hungary, suggesting that the presence of foreign currency debt weakens the transmission of monetary policy. A currency depreciation shock leads to an initial decline in foreign currency lending, but also in loans denominated in domestic currency as central banks react to a weaker exchange rate by increasing the interest rates. However, after several quarters, credit in foreign currency accelerates, indicating that borrowers start using it to substitute for depressed domestic currency lending.

Keywords: foreign currency loans; lending currency structure; monetary policy and exchange rate shocks; CEE countries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 26 pages
Date: 2017-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac, nep-mon and nep-tra
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http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12182/1148 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Transmission of monetary policy and exchange rate shocks under foreign currency lending (2018)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sgh:kaewps:2017027

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