Fiscal policy, employment, and output in South Africa: An open economy analysis
Mthokozisi Mlilo and
Umakrishnan Kollamparambi ()
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Umakrishnan Kollamparambi: Associate Professor, University of the Witwatersrand; Faculty of Commerce, Law and Management.
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Umakrishnan Kollamparambil
Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), 2016, vol. 4, issue 3, 11-23
Abstract:
We provide strong evidence of a positive shock to government spending on increase in employment (public and private), an appreciation of the real effective exchange rate and deterioration in the trade balance; but it has no effect on output for South Africa during the period 1994:1-2008:4. We also document that positive shocks to net taxes generate an increase in output, private employment and have no effect on public employment; it also leads to a depreciation of the real effective exchange rate and an improvement in the trade balance. An important finding in this study is that the transmission channel between government expenditures and output is not as direct as suggested in the Keynesian doctrine, but is indirectly shown by public employment’s effects on output. We conclude that classical effects are predominant in the South African economy, i.e., only improvements in the supply-side components can be linked to increases in output.
Keywords: Employment; Fiscal policy shocks, South Africa; VAR. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E2 E62 H50 O11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:lrc:lareco:v:4:y:2016:i:3:p:11-23
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