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The UK (and Western) productivity puzzle: does Arthur Lewis hold the key?

Nicholas Oulton

LSE Research Online Documents on Economics from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library

Abstract: I propose a new explanation for the UK productivity puzzle. I graft the Lewis (1954) model onto a standard Solow growth model. What I call the neo-Lewis model is identical to the Solow model in good times. But in bad times foreign demand for a country’s exports is constrained below potential supply. This makes labour productivity growth depend negatively on the growth of labour input. I also argue that the neo-Lewis model can explain the fall in TFP growth, in the UK and elsewhere, after 2007. The predictions of the neoLewis model are tested on data for 23 advanced countries and also on a larger sample of 52 countries and find support.

Keywords: productivity; slowdown; TFP; capital; lewis; immigration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E24 F43 J24 O41 O47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-03-25
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eff, nep-hpe, nep-lma, nep-mac and nep-pke
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

Downloads: (external link)
http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/87394/ Open access version. (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: The UK and Western Productivity Puzzle: Does Arthur Lewis Hold the Key? (2019) Downloads
Working Paper: The UK (and Western) Productivity Puzzle: Does Arthur Lewis Hold the Key? (2018) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ehl:lserod:87394

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