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Monetary policy and bank lending in the Euro area: Is there a stock market channel or an interest rate channel?

Robert E. Krainer

Journal of International Money and Finance, 2014, vol. 49, issue PB, 283-298

Abstract: In this paper I compare a traditional demand oriented model of bank lending with its focus on short-term interest rates in the money market, to a non-traditional capital budgeting model of bank lending based on movements in share valuations for the Euro area. Using non-nested hypothesis tests, omitted variables tests, and Granger Causality tests, I reject the traditional demand oriented model of bank lending and fail to reject the capital budgeting model of bank lending for Monetary Financial Institutions (MFI's) in the Euro area. Even though Europe is a bank-based financial system, it appears the stock market plays a key role in the lending decisions and allocation of resources in Europe. One possible policy implication of this research is that the central bank should try and stabilize stock prices in order to achieve their goal of stabilizing bank lending and the economy.

Keywords: Bank loans; Stock market; Non-nested hypothesis tests (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E3 E5 G2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:49:y:2014:i:pb:p:283-298

DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2014.03.009

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