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Modified information criteria and selection of long memory time series models

Richard T. Baillie, George Kapetanios and Fotis Papailias

Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2014, vol. 76, issue C, 116-131

Abstract: The problem of model selection of a univariate long memory time series is investigated once a semi parametric estimator for the long memory parameter has been used. Standard information criteria are not consistent in this case. A Modified Information Criterion (MIC) that overcomes these difficulties is introduced and proofs that show its asymptotic validity are provided. The results are general and cover a wide range of short memory processes. Simulation evidence compares the new and existing methodologies and empirical applications in monthly inflation and daily realized volatility are presented.

Keywords: Long memory; ARFIMA models; Modified information criteria (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:csdana:v:76:y:2014:i:c:p:116-131

DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2013.04.012

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