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Post-2012 climate policy scenarios

Stefan Boeters (), M.G.J. den Elzen, Ton Manders, Veenendaal. P.J.J. and Gerard Verweij

No 70, CPB Special Publication from CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis

Abstract: The cost and effectiveness of climate policy in Europe depend on the international post-2012 climate regime. Crucial are the stringency of the policy and the size of the climate coalition, e.g. the willingness of regions outside Europe to implement a climate policy. This report analyzes four alternative policy scenarios. These four scenarios are characterised along two dimensions: the sense of urgency expressed by the policy goal, and the willingness to resolve the climate problem through concerted action. This analysis provides a background for identifying the best mitigation options, both in the Netherlands and the EU. Only if all major countries become actively involved in emissions abatement before 2020, the EU 2 degrees climate target is feasible. In smaller coalitions the costs to coalition members and the environmental ineffectiveness tend to increase.

JEL-codes: C61 C68 H23 Q43 Q54 Q58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-07
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