Social Security Incidence under Uncertainty Assessing Italian Reforms
Devis Geron
No 2812, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo
Abstract:
This paper analyzes the welfare effects of the Italian social security system in an economy with uncertainty on wages, financial market returns and life expectancy. The introduction of a pension system reproducing the Italian statutory scheme turns out to decrease ex-ante individual welfare, unless restrictions are assumed on retirement behavior. Overall, risk insurance effects of social security play a minor role in determining welfare variations. The new Italian NDC pension system is shown to yield a slight ex-ante welfare improvement from a purely risk-insurance perspective. This relative gain stems from risk diversification across working-life wages in computing benefits.
Keywords: social security reforms; uncertainty; risk insurance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E62 H21 H31 H55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_2812
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