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Voting under Debtor Distress

Jakub Grossmann and Stepan Jurajda

CERGE-EI Working Papers from The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague

Abstract: There is growing evidence on the role of economic conditions in the recent successes of populist and extremist parties. However, little is known about the role of over-indebtedness, even though debtor distress has grown in Europe following the financial crisis. We study the unique case of the Czech Republic, where by 2017, nearly one in ten citizens had been served at least one debtor distress warrant even though the country consistently features low unemployment. Our municipality-level difference-in-differences analysis asks about the voting consequences of a rise in debtor distress following a 2001 deregulation of consumer-debt collection. We find that debtor distress has a positive effect on support for (new) extreme right and populist parties, but a negative effect on a (traditional) extreme-left party. The effects of debtor distress we uncover are robust to whether and how we control for economic hardship; the effects of debtor distress and economic hardship are of similar magnitude, but operate in opposing directions across the political spectrum.

Keywords: Debtor distress; distress warrants; populist parties; extremist parties; the Czech Republic (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D18 D72 G51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm, nep-pol and nep-tra
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