Inference on Optimal Treatment Assignments
Timothy Armstrong and
Shu Shen
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Shu Shen: Dept. of Economics, UC Davis
No 1927R, Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers from Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University
Abstract:
We consider inference on optimal treatment assignments. Our methods allow for inference on the treatment assignment rule that would be optimal given knowledge of the population treatment effect in a general setting. The procedure uses multiple hypothesis testing methods to determine a subset of the population for which assignment to treatment can be determined to be optimal after conditioning on all available information, with a prespecified level of confidence. A monte carlo study confirms that the inference procedure has good small sample behavior. We apply the method to study the Mexican conditional cash transfer program Progresa.
Keywords: Treatment assignment; Multiple testing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C10 C18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 32 pages
Date: 2013-11, Revised 2014-04
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)
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Related works:
Working Paper: Inference on Optimal Treatment Assignments (2015)
Working Paper: Inference on Optimal Treatment Assignments (2013)
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