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Easy Come, Easy Go? Economic Shocks, Labor Migration and the Family Left Behind

André Gröger

No 1086, Working Papers from Barcelona School of Economics

Abstract: This article investigates the impact of negative income shocks in migrant destination countries around the world on the domestic and international labor migration decisions of their family members left behind at origin. Exploiting differences in labor market shocks across and within destinations during the Great Recession, I find large and heterogeneous effects on both types of migration decisions. Poor migrant households reduced domestic and increased international labor migration in response to the shock. Rich migrant households remained largely unaffected. I provide a theoretical framework, which rationalizes this heterogeneity by the relative magnitudes of income and substitution effects caused by the shock. The results imply a deterioration in the skill selection of aggregate international migrant flows as poor households had below average skill levels. New international migrants targeted the same destinations as established ones from the same household, providing evidence of strong kinship migration networks. The results show that domestic and foreign migration decisions are interrelated and jointly determine aggregate migration flows.

Keywords: international migration; domestic migration; migration selection; unemployment; Vietnam (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F22 J61 O15 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int, nep-lab, nep-mig, nep-sea and nep-ure
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Journal Article: Easy come, easy go? Economic shocks, labor migration and the family left behind (2021) Downloads
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