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Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo Techniques of Unobserved Component Time Series Models Using Ox

Nima Nonejad ()
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Nima Nonejad: Aarhus University and CREATES, Postal: Department of Economics and Business, Fuglesangs Allé 4, 8210 Aarhus V, Denmark

CREATES Research Papers from Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University

Abstract: This paper details Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques for analysis of unobserved component time series models using several economic data sets. PMCMC combines the particle filter with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. Overall PMCMC provides a very compelling, computationally fast and efficient framework for estimation. These advantages are used to for instance estimate stochastic volatility models with leverage effect or with Student-t distributed errors. We also model changing time series characteristics of the US inflation rate by considering a heteroskedastic ARFIMA model where the heteroskedasticity is specified by means of a Gaussian stochastic volatility process.

Keywords: Particle filter; Metropolis-Hastings; Unobserved components; Bayes (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C11 C22 C63 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 21
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm, nep-ets and nep-ore
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aah:create:2013-27

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