Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections

Gordon Dahl, Runjing Lu and William Mullins
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Runjing Lu: University of Alberta
William Mullins: UC San Diego

No yjveb, SocArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: Changes in political leadership drive sharp changes in public policy and partisan beliefs about the future. We exploit the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential household decisions: whether to have a child. Republican-leaning counties experience a sharp and persistent increase in fertility relative to Democratic counties, a shift amounting to 1.2 to 2.2% of the national fertility rate. In addition, Hispanics see fertility fall relative to non-Hispanics, especially compared to rural or evangelical whites.

Date: 2021-04-24
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pol
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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https://osf.io/download/61a81cf84d4ce501f376dd77/

Related works:
Journal Article: Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections (2022)
Working Paper: Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections (2021)
Working Paper: Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections (2021)
Working Paper: Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections (2021)
Working Paper: Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections (2021)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:socarx:yjveb

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/yjveb

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