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The Impact of the National Pension Fund on the Suitability of Elderly Pensions in Thailand

Wade Pfau and Vararat Atisophon
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Vararat Atisophon: National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies

No 08-09, GRIPS Discussion Papers from National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies

Abstract: This study combines a traditional hypothetical worker approach with the techniques of stochastic forecasting in order to provide a better sense about the suitability of the pension system for formal sector private workers in Thailand. With regard to the proposed defined-contribution pension, we find that workers with a 40 year career can only expect a median replacement rate of about 13 to 14 percent of their final five years of income. Most of the pension benefits will still likely come from the unsustainable defined-benefit pension system and further reforms will be needed to maintain suitable pensions.

Keywords: defined-contribution pension; pension suitability; stochastic forecast; Thailand (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 23 pages
Date: 2008-08
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