Intermediary Asset Pricing: New Evidence from Many Asset Classes

Zhiguo He (), Bryan Kelly and Asaf Manela

No 21920, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We find that shocks to the equity capital ratio of financial intermediaries—Primary Dealer counterparties of the New York Federal Reserve—possess significant explanatory power for crosssectional variation in expected returns. This is true not only for commonly studied equity and government bond market portfolios, but also for other more sophisticated asset classes such as corporate and sovereign bonds, derivatives, commodities, and currencies. Our intermediary capital risk factor is strongly pro-cyclical, implying counter-cyclical intermediary leverage. The price of risk for intermediary capital shocks is consistently positive and of similar magnitude when estimated separately for individual asset classes, suggesting that financial intermediaries are marginal investors in many markets and hence key to understanding asset prices.

JEL-codes: G01 G12 G21 G24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cfn
Note: AP CF EFG IFM
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (23)

Published as He, Zhiguo & Kelly, Bryan & Manela, Asaf, 2017. "Intermediary asset pricing: New evidence from many asset classes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(1), pages 1-35.

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