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Building Bridges: Treating a New Transport Link as a Real Option

Arthur Grimes

No 11_12, Working Papers from Motu Economic and Public Policy Research

Abstract: A transportation investment that materially improves links between centres opens up previously unavailable options for new activities. Traditional cost-benefit analysis does not adequately take account of the value of this option; real options theory must be added to the analysis to evaluate the full benefits. This paper uses a specific example, Auckland’s Harbour Bridge, to motivate the importance of real options analysis. Using illustrative, multi-period models of the real options problem, it highlights how inclusion of real options factors may either increase or decrease the attractiveness of a proposed investment. The models identify situations in which it is optimal to invest even where a standard benefit-cost ratio is less than one.

Keywords: Transport investment; real options; cost-benefit analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H43 O18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 23 pages
Date: 2011-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-bec and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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https://motu-www.motu.org.nz/wpapers/11_12.pdf

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Working Paper: Building Bridges: Treating a New Transport Link as a Real Option (2011) Downloads
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